The following summaries are of the latest updates to my Decay Watch page
- check the page for further predicted elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26414 = 00- 42 A = Mightysat II.1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 11 19:10 Nov 12 00:53 +-4h 34.5 N 154.6 W
SatEvo Nov 11 19:50 Nov 12 00:43 +-90m 53.7 N 148.1 W
Latest elset:
Mightysat II.1 1.5 1.0 0.0 7.0 d 1.6 175 x 162 km
1 26414U 00042A 02315.76561300 .13877651 26788-5 12391-2 0 1075
2 26414 97.7473 82.6774 0009632 312.0355 47.9574 16.39039706128639
SatEvo prediction:
Mightysat II.1 1.5 1.0 0.0 7.0 d 1.6 168 x 157 km
1 26414U 00042A 02315.82661453 .21619281 37342+0 13026-2 0 91071
2 26414 97.7465 82.7523 0008640 311.7831 48.1431 16.41354140128647
Mightysat II.1 1.5 1.0 0.0 7.0 d 1.6 159 x 149 km
1 26414U 00042A 02315.88752960 .31700195 90877+0 98882-3 0 91073
2 26414 97.7455 82.8273 0007335 311.5300 48.4071 16.44513054128656
Mightysat II.1 1.5 1.0 0.0 7.0 d 1.6 143 x 136 km
1 26414U 00042A 02315.94829552 .70315159 59819+1 84249-3 0 91071
2 26414 97.7437 82.9026 0005179 311.2761 48.6793 16.50006795128665
Note: I show this decaying southbound over the Gulf of Alaska on the
orbit after the final SatEvo-predicted one above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26772 = 01- 20 C = USA 158 (GeoLITE) Delta 2 r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 11 11:16 Nov 14 08:00 +-2d 17.2 N 17.4 E
SatEvo Nov 11 19:40 Nov 15 10:43 +1.4d
Latest elset:
USA 158 Delta 2 r2 2218 x 114 km
1 26772U 01020C 02314.59443330 .16207178 -23599-4 80309-3 0 111
2 26772 26.5215 173.5136 1393847 317.9993 32.4751 13.24940286 7614
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27408 = 02- 14 C = SZ 3 Module
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 11 19:23 Nov 12 06:54 +-8h 41.6 S 156.6 E
SatEvo Nov 11 20:00 Nov 12 06:31 +-4h 0.0 85.7 E
Latest elset:
SZ 3 Module 4.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 v 11 186 x 177 km
1 27408U 02014C 02315.69348014 .07175461 88569-5 96918-3 0 7608
2 27408 42.3885 58.4049 0006808 344.0118 16.0611 16.34258211 35327
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
SZ 3 Module 4.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 v 11 155 x 149 km
1 27408U 02014C 02316.12006452 .25788526 56398+0 75362-3 0 97604
2 27408 42.3859 55.5399 0004060 347.3626 12.6271 16.45274761 35393
SZ 3 Module 4.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 v 11 143 x 139 km
1 27408U 02014C 02316.18069556 .46223643 20463+1 59343-3 0 97607
2 27408 42.3850 55.1278 0003137 347.8446 12.1476 16.49367319 35405
Note: I have this decaying near the southbound equator crossing over
the Indian Ocean on the orbit following the final predicted rev above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27520 = 02- 42 F = DRTS rocket fairing 2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 11 15:57 Nov 12 02:32 +-7h 30.0 S 116.2 W
SatEvo Nov 11 20:10 Nov 12 06:34 +-4h 0.5 S 102.2 E
Latest elset:
DRTS r Fairng2 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.5 v 10 232 x 222 km
1 27520U 02042F 02315.62979097 .07012155 15187+0 61666-2 0 1232
2 27520 30.3926 76.1255 0007320 26.5740 333.5284 16.17199239 9727
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
DRTS r Fairng2 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.5 v 10 173 x 169 km
1 27520U 02042F 02316.18247507 .49675600 16725+1 43131-2 0 91230
2 27520 30.3887 71.8733 0003482 33.2791 326.7427 16.38119452 9817
DRTS r Fairng2 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.5 v 10 146 x 143 km
1 27520U 02042F 02316.24324226 1.65526757 28891+2 29060-2 0 91231
2 27520 30.3871 71.3941 0002078 34.0347 325.9785 16.48007606 9829
Note: I estimate that this will decay near the southbound equator
crossing on the final SatEvo orbit, above. This puts very close to
Singapore. SCC has a much earlier decay.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Nov 11 2002 - 15:38:40 EST