Decay watch: 2002 November 10

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Nov 10 2002 - 15:22:26 EST

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    SCC has posted the first decay warning for the Delta 2 r2 that launched 
    USA 158, the NRO's GeoLITE satellite, in May last year. The first 
    unclassified elsets for this appeared only this weekend.
    
    The following is a summary of the latest updates to my Decay Watch page 
    - check the page for predicted elsets.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26414 = 00- 42 A = Mightysat II.1
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 10 07:58     Nov 12 03:22 +-1d        34.3 N    22.4 W
    SatEvo     Nov 10 19:25     Nov 12 00:30 +-9h        69.0 N     3.9 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Mightysat II.1   1.5  1.0  0.0  7.0 d  1.6       217 x 206 km
    1 26414U 00042A   02314.72145976  .04357465  26538-5  18343-2 0  1013
    2 26414  97.7503  81.4202 0007981 284.3293  75.7161 16.22928667128460
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26772 = 01- 20 C = USA 158 (GeoLITE) Delta 2 r2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 10 16:28     Nov 14 01:05 +-2d         8.8 N   103.0 E
    SatEvo     Nov 10 20:00     Nov 15 21:20 +-2d
    
    Latest elset:
    USA 158 Delta 2 r2                               2218 x 114 km
    1 26772U 01020C   02314.59443330  .16207178 -23599-4  80309-3 0   111
    2 26772  26.5215 173.5136 1393847 317.9993  32.4751 13.24940286  7614
    
    Note: Elsets have just become available for this hitherto classified
    object. It enters eclipse while southbound near 3 deg S at at ~1750 km
    altitude in the evening and leaves eclipse northbound near 23 deg S
    and only ~180 km before dawn.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27408 = 02- 14 C = SZ 3 Module
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 10 09:57     Nov 12 09:53 +-1d        42.3 S   130.5 E
    SatEvo     Nov 10 19:35     Nov 12 10:01 +-12h       26.7 S   178.8 E
    
    Latest elset:
    SZ 3 Module      4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 v   11       218 x 205 km
    1 27408U 02014C   02314.52782123  .03190884  85873-5  12118-2 0  7530
    2 27408  42.3887  66.1127 0009978 345.7869  14.2727 16.23114583 35132
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27452 = 02- 31 C = Iridium 98 Breeze rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        (No prediction yet)
    SatEvo     Nov 10 19:40     Nov 17 08:59 +-2.3d
    
    Latest elset:
    Irid 98 Brze r   5.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d  9.4       295 x 179 km
    1 27452U 02031C   02314.50848654  .01180967 -14869-5  50927-3 0  2205
    2 27452  86.5503  17.5200 0088071 103.8390 257.3182 16.13615924 22327
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27520 = 02- 42 F = DRTS rocket fairing 2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 10 09:47     Nov 12 10:06 +-1d        24.5 S   177.1 E
    SatEvo     Nov 10 19:50     Nov 12 06:35 +-11h        4.6 S   108.9 E
    
    Latest elset:
    DRTS r Fairng2   3.0  3.0  0.0  3.5 v   10       270 x 260 km
    1 27520U 02042F   02314.57572054  .03717958  20915-1  69139-2 0  1180
    2 27520  30.3880  84.0781 0007753  32.9755 327.1490 16.03528056  9552
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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