Decay watch: 2002 November 8

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Fri Nov 08 2002 - 15:04:00 EST

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    My Decay Watch page has notices for four new objects, though only one of 
    these has a decay prediction from SCC as yet. Check the page for 
    predicted elsets.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26414 = 00- 42 A = Mightysat II.1
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        (No prediction yet)
    SatEvo     Nov  8 19:40     Nov 12 05:23 +-1.1d
    
    Latest elset:
    Mightysat II.1   1.5  1.0  0.0  7.0 d  1.6       249 x 240 km
    1 26414U 00042A   02312.55409775  .01770456  25436-2  18815-2 0   913
    2 26414  97.7540  78.8525 0006867 279.0051  81.0455 16.10830104128117
    
    Note: Eclipse entry occurs northbound near 47 deg S at ~02:30 local
    time, with eclipse exit at 80 deg N over the Arctic and just beyond
    northern apex.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27408 = 02- 14 C = SZ 3 Module
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        (No prediction yet)
    SatEvo     Nov  8 19:30     Nov 12 09:25 +-1.1d
    
    Latest elset:
    SZ 3 Module      4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 v   11       240 x 225 km
    1 27408U 02014C   02312.61516569  .01705030  24983-2  12402-2 0  7448
    2 27408  42.3931  78.6001 0010982 341.4138  18.6174 16.15295546 34829
    
    Note: This enters eclipse near southern apex at 42 deg S in the
    evening and leaves eclipse while northbound near 36 deg N before
    dawn.  Will this be allowed to decay naturally, or has it a surprise
    in store?
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27452 = 02- 31 C = Iridium 98 Breeze rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        (No prediction yet)
    SatEvo     Nov  8 19:45     Nov 16 21:00 +-3d
    
    Latest elset:
    Irid 98 Brze r   5.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d  9.4       318 x 185 km
    1 27452U 02031C   02311.96133565  .00966832 -14828-5  55310-3 0  2174
    2 27452  86.5504  18.8579 0100224 115.4656 245.7053 16.08287969 21910
    
    Note: This has eclipse entry while northbound near 51 deg S in the
    evening. It leaves the Earth's shadow near 84 deg N over the Arctic
    and just beyond northern apex.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27520 = 02- 42 F = DRTS rocket fairing 2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov  8 08:19     Nov 12 06:43 +-2d        13.2 S   123.5 E
    SatEvo     Nov  8 19:55     Nov 12 03:31 +-1.1d
    
    Latest elset:
    DRTS r Fairng2   3.0  3.0  0.0  3.5 v   10       307 x 293 km
    1 27520U 02042F   02312.51276420  .02165259  26445-2  67665-2 0  1053
    2 27520  30.3858  99.3237 0010131  19.9061 340.1984 15.90902277  9224
    
    Note: Eclipse entry occurs while southbound near 29 deg S in the
    evening, with eclipse exit northbound near 14 deg N before dawn.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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