My Decay Watch page has been updated again...
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Object: #23824 = 96- 10 E = Raduga 33 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Nov 23 06:08 Nov 23 03:31 +-1h 5.8 S 137.8 W
SatEvo Nov 22 18:20 Nov 22 22:25 +-7h 46.3 N 139.6 W
Latest (final?) elset:
Raduga 33 aux motor 1300 x 207 km
1 23824U 96010E 00326.91849534 .37094874 88925-5 11887+0 0 16
2 23824 47.3868 157.3013 0766693 71.1725 297.1085 14.41540941 59376
Note: For some reason SpaceCom has continued to withhold most of the
elsets for this object, with none published during the last day or
more. This means I have no further data with which to update the
prediction I made yesterday that put the decay over the NE Pacific
prior to a pass across the USA from the California-Oregon border at
22:28 UTC on the 22nd to San Antonio, Texas, at 22:34.
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Object: #26618 = 75- 17 C = OPS 2439 deb (Jumpseat 4 deb)
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Nov 23 12:49 Nov 23 15:16 +-4h 16.8 S 99.7 W
SatEvo Nov 23 20:35 Nov 23 16:36 +-2h 41.8 S 138.8 W
Latest (final?) elset:
OPS 2439 deb C 606 x 107 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.38620157 .60729077 78435-5 10067-2 0 164
2 26618 63.1376 201.1346 0370363 273.4351 82.7945 15.71002766 67446
Note: The latest, and possibly final elset, shows this running 3.1 min
late against the prediction I posted yesterday. SpaceCom's final
decay notice has yet to appear. I show this decaying northbound over
the S Pacific following perigee on the second of these SatEvo-predicted
orbits:
OPS 2439 deb C 445 x 103 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.57567124 .97691388 11070+1 11284-2 0 90160
2 26618 63.1287 200.4136 0257325 273.4520 83.6084 16.00153485 67471
OPS 2439 deb C 371 x 101 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.63801164 1.29600680 26794+1 12134-2 0 90167
2 26618 63.1231 200.1687 0203970 273.4579 84.2113 16.14064398 67489
OPS 2439 deb C 262 x 97 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.69976129 2.34705135 14059+2 14373-2 0 90164
2 26618 63.1170 199.9203 0125924 273.4639 85.0966 16.34775600 67492
It is possible that it survived to decay one orbit later, or it might,
as SpaceCom predicted, have re-entered one orbit earlier.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Nov 23 2000 - 12:48:26 PST