SpaceCom has posted a decay notice for #26618 which, as Ted Molczan has
mentioned in another SeeSat posting, is debris from the hitherto secret
Jumpseat 4 satellite. See my Decay Watch page for more details on the
following...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23824 = 96- 10 E = Raduga 33 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Nov 22 16:34 Nov 23 01:59 +-6h 5.8 S 114.4 W
SatEvo Nov 22 18:20 Nov 22 22:25 +-7h 46.3 N 139.6 W
Latest elset:
Raduga 33 aux motor 1300 x 207 km
1 23824U 96010E 00326.91849534 .37094874 88925-5 11887+0 0 16
2 23824 47.3868 157.3013 0766693 71.1725 297.1085 14.41540941 59376
SatEvo prediction:
Raduga 33 aux motor 652 x 176 km
1 23824U 96010E 00327.78967246 1.09047276 11014+1 85195-1 0 90011
2 23824 47.3520 152.9753 0350064 75.3031 288.5507 15.51014245 59503
Raduga 33 aux motor 566 x 171 km
1 23824U 96010E 00327.85366559 1.37000328 19898+1 81640-1 0 90016
2 23824 47.3480 152.6239 0292519 75.6389 287.5904 15.66572742 59511
Raduga 33 aux motor 456 x 164 km
1 23824U 96010E 00327.91690482 1.99573527 51655+1 76107-1 0 90011
2 23824 47.3430 152.2676 0218371 75.9796 286.4384 15.87186766 59527
Note: SpaceCom appears to be continuing its policy of withholding most
of the elsets for this object - just posting one each day. Again, the
elset just issued is already almost a day old so my prediction is even
more uncertain than usual. I put the decay over the NE Pacific prior to
a pass across the USA from the California-Oregon border at 22:28 UTC to
San Antonio, Texas, at 22:34.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26618 = 75- 17 C = OPS 2439 deb (Jumpseat 4 deb)
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Nov 22 14:44 Nov 23 15:01 +-15h 57.3 S 139.0 W
SatEvo Nov 22 18:35 Nov 23 14:58 +-8h 51.9 S 127.2 W
Latest elset:
OPS 2439 deb C 1026 x 117 km
1 26618U 75017C 00327.47048173 .30251469 64558-5 11231-2 0 72
2 26618 63.1527 204.3441 0653957 272.7709 79.8783 14.98415376 67302
SatEvo prediction:
OPS 2439 deb C 889 x 115 km
1 26618U 75017C 00327.80187134 .37917695 83248-1 11438-2 0 90078
2 26618 63.1440 203.2125 0562603 272.7960 80.7813 15.21326574 67357
OPS 2439 deb C 828 x 114 km
1 26618U 75017C 00327.93297822 .41615990 10763+0 11423-2 0 90070
2 26618 63.1402 202.7536 0521220 272.8065 81.2421 15.31733148 67375
OPS 2439 deb C 761 x 112 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.06316384 .46486619 14647+0 11454-2 0 90078
2 26618 63.1360 202.2907 0475918 272.8171 81.7475 15.43170341 67394
OPS 2439 deb C 688 x 111 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.19234403 .53299770 21526+0 11555-2 0 90077
2 26618 63.1313 201.8233 0425317 272.8280 82.3132 15.56004993 67411
OPS 2439 deb C 604 x 109 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.32040096 .63815085 36176+0 11786-2 0 90072
2 26618 63.1258 201.3506 0366984 272.8393 82.9672 15.70888989 67434
OPS 2439 deb C 502 x 107 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.44715227 .83078048 72550+0 12306-2 0 90077
2 26618 63.1201 200.8714 0295729 272.8509 83.7688 15.89211589 67458
OPS 2439 deb C 362 x 103 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.57225810 1.37381565 31599+1 13750-2 0 90079
2 26618 63.1108 200.3838 0196013 272.8629 84.8955 16.15232118 67477
OPS 2439 deb C 243 x 98 km
1 26618U 75017C 00328.63394835 2.81636687 23610+2 16915-2 0 90070
2 26618 63.1042 200.1348 0110406 272.8692 85.8678 16.38157225 67484
Note: I think decay is most likely shortly after perigee on the
penultimate of these SatEvo-predicted orbits. Like SpaceCom, I
expect this to occur over the S Pacific.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Nov 22 2000 - 10:52:59 PST