Decay watch: 2000 Nov 17

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Fri Nov 17 2000 - 15:00:25 PST

  • Next message: David Cappellucci: "SatSpy 4.0"

    From my updated Decay Watch page...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #23824 = 96- 10 E = Raduga 33 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions (still):
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   (none yet)
    SatEvo     Nov 16 18:50     Nov 23 01:27 +-2d
    
    Latest elset (still):
    Raduga 33 aux motor                              3255 x 224 km
    1 23824U 96010E   00320.73130029  .12996017  25683-1  12395+0 0  9590
    2 23824  47.3850 180.1677 1867275  51.2250 323.4773 11.87087768 58576
    
    Note: SpaceCom has still to post any decay notice for this and may
    have lost track of it for the moment - no further elsets have 
    appeared.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26616 = 00- 73 B = Progress M1-4 Soyuz-U rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Nov 17 14:38     Nov 17 19:32 +-3h        49.2 N    24.5 W
    SatEvo     Nov 17 22:40     Nov 17 19:19 +-20m       27.8 S    63.6 W
    
    Final(?) elset:
    Progress M1-4 Soyuz-U r                          132 x 121 km
    1 26616U 00073B   00322.76863709  .48618907  12792-4  24685-3 0   261
    2 26616  51.6187  79.0038 0008312 101.4322 258.7656 16.54928764   286
    
    Note: The latest, and probably final elset, shows it running 7
    seconds early against the prediction I posted yesterday. I show
    it decaying southbound on that orbit as it passed over S America 
    from Lima, Peru, at 19:14 UTC to Montevideo, Uruguay, at 19:22. 
    SpaceCom's final two decay warnings have yet to appear.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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