The Soyuz-U rocket that launched Progress M1-4 should decay tomorrow.
There are predicted elsets for it on my just-updated Decay Watch page,
plus more for the other current decayer...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23824 = 96- 10 E = Raduga 33 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom (none yet)
SatEvo Nov 16 18:50 Nov 23 01:27 +-2d
Latest elset:
Raduga 33 aux motor 3255 x 224 km
1 23824U 96010E 00320.73130029 .12996017 25683-1 12395+0 0 9590
2 23824 47.3850 180.1677 1867275 51.2250 323.4773 11.87087768 58576
Note: SpaceCom has still to post any decay notice for this.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26616 = 00- 73 B = Progress M1-4 Soyuz-U rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Nov 16 10:40 Nov 17 21:19 +-21h 17.8 S 45.5 E
SatEvo Nov 16 18:55 Nov 17 18:56 +-8h 42.8 N 128.9 W
Latest elset:
Progress M1-4 Soyuz-U r 205 x 182 km
1 26616U 00073B 00321.60897328 .03782878 00000-0 78413-3 0 103
2 26616 51.6443 85.5137 0017570 90.7666 269.6018 16.29729259 81
SatEvo prediction:
..(ends)
Progress M1-4 Soyuz-U r 149 x 140 km
1 26616U 00073B 00322.70814999 .27867215 72326+0 42446-3 0 90108
2 26616 51.6393 79.3336 0007137 95.3752 264.7062 16.48073392 268
Progress M1-4 Soyuz-U r 135 x 128 km
1 26616U 00073B 00322.76870115 .64245892 42629+1 44354-3 0 90102
2 26616 51.6382 78.9864 0004874 95.6342 264.4213 16.52979070 279
Note: This enters eclipse while northbound near 41 deg S in the evening
sky and leaves eclipse near northern apex in the pre-dawn sky. My
initial estimate has this decaying just prior to a SE daylight pass
across the USA from N California at 18:57 UTC to S Arizona at 19:00.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Nov 16 2000 - 11:17:27 PST