I have just posted another update to my Decay Watch page, with further
details of the following decayers...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #2167 = 66- 34 B = OV 3-1 Scout rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Nov 8 16:28 Nov 12 16:37 +-2d 40.7 S 125.1 E
SatEvo Nov 9 22:50 Nov 14 15:43 +-1.3d
Latest elset:
OV 3-1 r 330 x 198 km
1 02167U 66034B 00314.73002250 .02047169 00000-0 17140-2 0 3574
2 02167 82.2311 75.2784 0099231 235.5698 123.6769 16.03764706435691
Note: This enters eclipse while northbound near 56 deg S at 01:00
local time and leaves eclipse over the Arctic.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #20255 = 89- 78 A = Molniya 1-76
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Nov 9 04:54 Nov 11 01:03 +-1d 26.2 S 133.3 W
SatEvo Nov 9 23:00 Nov 11 00:48 +-8h
Latest elset:
Molniya 1-76 2637 x 86 km
1 20255U 89078A 00314.82760821 .62238692 67175-5 95862-3 0 7347
2 20255 63.2334 310.0522 1648139 247.1258 97.1679 12.75065078 83855
SatEvo prediction:
..(ends)
Molniya 1-76 774 x 74 km
1 20255U 89078A 00315.98348283 2.56605423 34764+1 96345-3 0 97343
2 20255 63.1160 306.7344 0514535 247.1920 107.2925 15.47624827 84013
Molniya 1-76 552 x 72 km
1 20255U 89078A 00316.04764191 3.70989211 11605+2 10385-2 0 97347
2 20255 63.1001 306.4962 0358204 247.1981 108.9788 15.86606748 84027
Note: The latest elset has this 93 sec late against the prediction
I posted yesterday. I expect re-entry following perigee on the
penultimate of these SatEvo-predicted orbits.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25032 = 97- 67 C = GPS 2-28 r2 (PAM-D)
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Nov 9 10:35 Nov 9 12:32 +-7h 17.8 N 14.1 E
SatEvo Nov 9 22:30 Nov 9 16:41 +-45m 35.0 N 113.6 W
Latest (final?) elset:
GPS 2-28 r2 267 x 122 km
1 25032U 97067C 00314.61923997 .16235031 00000-0 27179-3 0 3685
2 25032 34.8058 96.6847 0110442 69.3242 291.9832 16.29338844 77398
Note: SpaceCom has still to post its final analysis. The latest,
possibly final, elset shows this running 2.7 min late against the
prediction I posted yesterday. I show this decaying during a daylight
pass that carried it between Los Angeles and San Francisco at 16:39 UTC,
and on across the S USA to Jacksonville, Florida. I put re-entry over
Arizona, but it could easily have survived to decay further on over the
Atlantic or near the following southbound equator crossing at 17:03 UTC
and 28.8 deg W. My predicted elset for this orbit is:
GPS 2-28 r2 215 x 112 km
1 25032U 97067C 00314.68017247 .96389771 39865+1 78686-3 0 93682
2 25032 34.8039 96.2313 0078669 69.9789 290.8664 16.41017484 77408
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Nov 09 2000 - 15:13:49 PST