Lifted from my updated Decay watch page...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26604 = 00- 70 B = Soyuz TM-31 Soyuz-U rocket
Notice prepared: 2000 Nov 1 1955 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 31 23:52 Nov 1 16:02 +-10h 0.7 N 119.4 W
SpaceCom Nov 1 02:52 Nov 1 15:07 +-8h 33.6 N 42.4 E
SpaceCom Nov 1 09:08 Nov 1 15:00 +-4h 48.5 N 12.7 E
SpaceCom Nov 1 12:16 Nov 1 14:35 +-2h 1.8 N 96.3 W
SpaceCom Nov 1 14:58 Nov 1 14:01 +-22m 35.8 S 125.2 E
SatEvo Nov 1 19:55 Nov 1 14:33 +-40m 10.4 N 90.2 W
Latest elset:
Soyuz TM-31 r 161 x 140 km
1 26604U 00070B 00306.49618587 .14418964 12575-4 27599-3 0 179
2 26604 51.6630 161.5907 0016252 87.1049 351.0836 16.45814992 190
Note: I show this decaying while northbound near the equator crossing
at the end of this SatEvo-predicted orbit:
Soyuz TM-31 r 146 x 130 km
1 26604U 00070B 00306.54364862 .47431504 20990+1 43038-3 0 90171
2 26604 51.6617 161.3192 0012675 87.3071 272.8380 16.50617659 204
This puts it just S of Guatemala in Central America on a track that
would passed just SE of Florida at 14:37 and across the Atlantic to
S England and London at 14:54.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Nov 01 2000 - 12:18:13 PST