Re: Soyuz TMA-1 is really Soyuz TM-31

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Nov 01 2000 - 00:16:00 PST

  • Next message: StarliteStella@aol.com: "Glorious 18th hour of Oct. 31st, 2000 (PDT), in Marin County, CA"

    >It seems that OIG has misunderstood the designation of the newly launched
    >Soyuz. The TMA type will not be introduced until several more Soyuz flights
    >into the ISS program. Thjis vehicle is the goof old TM type. So, the
    >correct name is Soyuz TM-31
    
    It is not just OIG, Sven. The World Data Center for Satellite
    Information posted Spacewarn bulletin 13133 yesterday identifying this
    as TMA-1, too. I agree that it is Soyuz TM-31 and that is how it has
    been appearing in my select.tle list, with elset updated hourly.
    
    SpaceCom was slow with elsets for the rocket and slow with the
    corresponding decay notice. Its latest prediction is for decay at Nov 1
    15:07 UTC, southbound near 33.6 N, 42.4 E (over the Black Sea). My
    preliminary SatEvo analysis is in reasonable agreement, though suggests
    that re-entry might come further along, closer to the end of the same
    rev. The uncertainty could be as much as 4 hours either way, though.
    
    The latest elset is:
    Soyuz TM-31 r                                    195 x 165 km
    1 26604U 00070B   00306.07944670  .08288431  12206-4  99260-3 0   136
    2 26604  51.6659 163.9446 0022403  99.3829  37.0374 16.34700160   121
    
    Predicted elsets...
    Soyuz TM-31 r                                    171 x 150 km
    1 26604U 00070B   00306.42244169  .15481527  16516+0  65347-3 0 90131
    2 26604  51.6637 162.0132 0016303 100.8210 259.3626 16.41898952   183
    Soyuz TM-31 r                                    165 x 146 km
    1 26604U 00070B   00306.48326267  .19503052  29161+0  55131-3 0 90139
    2 26604  51.6631 161.6682 0014652 101.0779 259.0869 16.44003006   198
    Soyuz TM-31 r                                    156 x 140 km
    1 26604U 00070B   00306.54399356  .27633951  63948+0  47891-3 0 90131
    2 26604  51.6624 161.3225 0012506 101.3353 258.8053 16.46798656   205
    Soyuz TM-31 r                                    142 x 130 km
    1 26604U 00070B   00306.60459422  .50153972  21038+1  43304-3 0 90135
    2 26604  51.6613 160.9758 0009272 101.5935 258.5106 16.51233139   216
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    
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