Decay watch: Nov 29
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 29 Nov 1999 23:29:48 +0000
I have updated the predictions on my Decay Watch page at
http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
These cover:
#25014 = 97- 63 B = STEP M4 Pegasus rocket
I show this decay at Nov 30 09:28 UTC +-3h while the rocket is
southbound over the S Atlantic off Angola. The track before this takes
it over the USA from N California at 08:55 UTC to Minneapolis at 09:01,
Toronto, Canada, at 09:04 and Boston at 09:05. If it survives, it passes
SE of Perth, Western Australia, at 09:53 on the way to Cairns,
Queensland, at 10:01 before crossing the USA again between 10:26 and
10:36. My SatEvo-predicted elset for the final orbit:
STEP M4 Peg r 1.3 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 1.66 134 x 131 km
1 25014U 97063B 99334.36053375 .85372392 73715+1 62271-3 0 96222
2 25014 44.9435 19.9251 0002185 26.4798 333.5312 16.52693852119099
#1844 = 65-106 B = Cosmos 100 rocket
I now compute this decay for Dec 1 09:24 +-11h
#25960 = 99- 61 E = Shenzhou debris (Orbital Module?)
My current decay prediction is for Dec 1 20:00 +-11h.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
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