SatEvo decay list #88 (issued 1999 November 24) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 December 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,000 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name --- Decay (1999/2000) --- Predicted Actual? 24196 94- 29 JX STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 7 24993 94- 29 ADA STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 7 25494 98- 56 D Eutelsat W2 Spelda November 7 22661 93- 16 AG C 2237 Zenit deb November 9.0 25208 87- 68 AK Meteor 2-16 deb November 10 24291 96- 50 A Microsat November 12.78 24266 94- 29 MR STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 13 23995 94- 29 AQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 14 22386 92- 93 CB C 2227 Zenit deb November 14.8 5761 71- 15 CD Cosmos 397 deb November 15.0 4222 69- 97 B AZUR Scout r November 15.39 24267 94- 29 MS STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 16 22434 92- 93 EB C 2227 Zenit deb November 18 23295 85-116 S C 1710 Proton deb November 19 Note 1 24534 94- 29 WJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 19 24531 94- 29 WF STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 20 22360 92- 93 AZ C 2227 Zenit deb November 20.5 22897 83- 75 P Cosmos 1484 deb November 21.6 25551 98- 69 C MightySat November 21.73 25958 99- 61 C Shenzhou deb November 21.8 24064 94- 29 DM STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 22 Note 1 16197 85- 99 E Molniya 1-65 r2 November 22.17 25959 99- 61 D Shenzhou deb November 22.55 Note 1 25934 99- 55 B GPS 2R-3 Delta 2 r1 November 22.94 22016 92- 39 C GPS 2-14 Delta r2 November 23.51 22847 92- 38 C Sampex Scout G-1 deb November 24.5 19579 78-110 AK C 1045 SL-14 deb November 26? Note 2 7853 72- 58 Z Lndst 1 Delta 1 deb November 27 14610 83-113 E DMSP F7 deb November 27 25957 99- 61 B Shenzhou CZ-1F r November 27 1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r November 28 25014 97- 63 B STEP M4 Pegasus r November 30 25960 99- 61 E Shenzhou Orbital Mod? November 30 25923 99- 52 B Tlstr 7 Ariane r December 1 22365 92- 93 BE C 2227 Zenit deb December 3 22534 93- 11 D Astro D M-3S2 deb December 3 22334 92- 93 X C 2227 Zenit deb December 4 25058 65- 98 L Alouette 2 deb December 6 24034 94- 29 CF STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 8 24109 94- 29 FG STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 9 4869 70- 25 EZ Thorad Agena D deb December 11 4981 70- 25 HB Thorad Agena D deb December 11 7960 72- 58 CQ Lndst 1 Delta 1 deb December 12 21960 85-118 M C 1710 SL-12 deb December 12 23008 92- 93 JE C 2227 Zenit deb December 13 25790 99- 34 B QuikScat Titan 2 r December 13 24372 94- 29 PZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 14 24084 94- 29 EF STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 15 23935 78- 96 F Tiros N deb December 17 19377 88- 69 A Molniya 1-73 December 18 24225 94- 29 KY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 18 1832 65- 82 DX OV2-1/LCS 2 deb December 20 3343 68- 66 E Explr 39 Scout deb December 20 16308 79- 17 BX Solwind deb December 20 24522 94- 29 UW STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 22 15707 83- 44 AA Cosmos 1461 deb December 28 7847 72- 58 T Lndst 1 Delta 1 deb December 30 14447 71- 15 CR Cosmos 397 deb December 30 22564 93- 15 B UFO 1 r1 January 3 13964 83- 25 A Molniya 1-57 January 8? 16885 86- 57 A Molniya 1-67 January 15? 7969 75- 56 B Cosmos 744 r January 18 11474 79- 70 A Molniya 1-44 January 20? 9854 77- 15 B Cosmos 895 r February 3 25176 98- 11 B COMETS H2 r February 4 25911 99- 49 E Glblstar 33 Soyuz r February 4 22702 93- 42 C GPS 2-21 Delta r2 February 5 25769 99- 30 B Starshine February 8 16609 86- 17 A Mir February 16 25947 99- 58 E Glblstar 31 Soyuz r February 22 11331 79- 32 A Cosmos 1093 March 15977 85- 74 A Molniya 1-64 March 22876 93- 67 B Cosmos 2265 r March 25965 99- 62 E Glblstar 29 Soyuz r March Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. 2. No recent elsets. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html