#25047 decay prediction

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:00:54 +0000

The latest elset for the decaying platform (?) from the recent Kupon
launch is
Kupon Platform?                                  165 x 158 km
1 25047U 97070C   97318.65622069  .04336852  12438-4  25679-3 0   160
2 25047  51.6296 305.4648 0005021 266.5994  93.4649 16.41595321   325

This is 14 seconds earlier than my prediction yesterday.

A new evolution SatEvo evolution has decay about November 15.35 (08:20
UTC), but this is still uncertain by as much as +/-3 hours.

My prediction until decay:
Kupon Platform?                                  153 x 148 km
1 25047U 97070C   97318.96018995  .08425263  55633-1  21535-3 0 90167
2 25047  51.6285 303.7374 0003760 267.8887  92.0683 16.45801170   377
Kupon Platform?                                  150 x 145 km
1 25047U 97070C   97319.02088793  .09596861  74903-1  19662-3 0 90161
2 25047  51.6282 303.3912 0003453 268.1471  91.8133 16.46891473   384
Kupon Platform?                                  146 x 142 km
1 25047U 97070C   97319.08154285  .11226968  10714+0  18057-3 0 90163
2 25047  51.6278 303.0446 0003117 268.4058  91.5584 16.48148502   397
Kupon Platform?                                  142 x 139 km
1 25047U 97070C   97319.14214743  .13677191  16793+0  16756-3 0 90163
2 25047  51.6274 302.6976 0002739 268.6648  91.3037 16.49646412   409
Kupon Platform?                                  137 x 134 km
1 25047U 97070C   97319.20269063  .17854146  30742+0  15883-3 0 90166
2 25047  51.6269 302.3502 0002302 268.9242  91.0494 16.51529311   410
Kupon Platform?                                  130 x 127 km
1 25047U 97070C   97319.26315319  .26958506  77720+0  15914-3 0 90165
2 25047  51.6263 302.0021 0001759 269.1841  90.7957 16.54151537   425
Kupon Platform?                                  116 x 115 km
1 25047U 97070C   97319.32348888  .70487894  62570+1  21058-3 0 90169
2 25047  51.6252 301.6530 0000944 269.4447  90.5444 16.59094197   436 

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W    156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:      alan@wingar.demon.co.uk       +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/