Progress M-33 rocket decay

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Thu, 21 Nov 1996 22:30:23 +0000

The SL-4 rocket which launched Progress M-33 will decay around Nov 22.49
(11.45 UT) according to my SatEvo calculations. This is visible near
northern apex in the morning sky.

The latest OIG elset is:
Progress M-33 r                                  197 x 170
1 24664U 96066B   96326.49897353  .04424639  12231-4  61590-3 0    94
2 24664  51.6443  50.8816 0020740  92.6366 267.7324 16.33460659   251

Here are some predicted elsets through to decay, based on a fit through
the 10 elsets I have since yesterday's launch:
Progress M-33 r                                  182 x 162
1 24664U 96066B   96326.92670073  .06570866  30722-1  59330-3 0 90096
2 24664  51.6431  48.4805 0015625  94.4269 265.7516 16.37652398   323
Progress M-33 r                                  173 x 156
1 24664U 96066B   96327.10960587  .08983877  63220-1  58889-3 0 90098
2 24664  51.6422  47.4482 0012830  95.1967 264.9514 16.40446547   354
Progress M-33 r                                  160 x 148
1 24664U 96066B   96327.29213288  .15064155  20496+0  43350-3 0 90097
2 24664  51.6411  46.4132 0009232  95.9686 264.1367 16.44620003   387
Progress M-33 r                                  144 x 136
1 24664U 96066B   96327.41348099  .32344484  11551+1  37207-3 0 90092
2 24664  51.6397  45.7206 0005696  96.4851 263.5797 16.49777521   400
Progress M-33 r                                  124 x 120
1 24664U 96066B   96327.47394672 1.30699311  24273+2  53816-3 0 90097
2 24664  51.6383  45.3727 0002447  96.7446 263.2832 16.56651834   417

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
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