Decay watch: 2003 May 25

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun May 25 2003 - 15:25:02 EDT

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     From the latest update to my Decay Watch page:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #21150 = 91- 18 B = Inmarsat 2-2 Delta 2 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        May 25 08:23     May 26 07:38 +-17h       15.5 N    78.5 E
    SatEvo     May 25 19:20     May 26 04:25 +-5h         6.6 S    75.9 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Inmarsat 2-2 r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v   14       193 x 177 km
    1 21150U 91018B   03145.51757942  .06557365 -12972-4  99831-3 0  9469
    2 21150  24.9865  45.3638 0012076  85.7656 274.4348 16.32712990656961
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Inmarsat 2-2 r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v   14       178 x 165 km
    1 21150U 91018B   03145.82261403  .10242747  63181-1  89780-3 0 99460
    2 21150  24.9857  42.8613 0009535  90.0559 270.0532 16.37837048657015
    Inmarsat 2-2 r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v   14       164 x 154 km
    1 21150U 91018B   03146.00509524  .18079710  27464+0  87454-3 0 99464
    2 21150  24.9850  41.3539 0007355  92.6403 267.4436 16.42684053657041
    Inmarsat 2-2 r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v   14       156 x 148 km
    1 21150U 91018B   03146.06577783  .25742299  59876+0  76641-3 0 99467
    2 21150  24.9847  40.8498 0006276  93.5045 266.5670 16.45281328657050
    Inmarsat 2-2 r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v   14       144 x 138 km
    1 21150U 91018B   03146.12633910  .49134532  23123+1  62352-3 0 99461
    2 21150  24.9841  40.3444 0004642  94.3710 265.6820 16.49489812657063
    
    Note: I estimate that this will decay northbound to the S of India
    near the end of the final predicted rev, above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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