Decay watch: 2003 May 17

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat May 17 2003 - 14:24:05 EDT

  • Next message: Ron Lee: "Superbird A, 18 May 2003" 

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Object: #23178 = 94- 40 D = PAS 2 Ariane Spelda

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
SCC        May 17 17:17     May 17 19:35 +-3h         0.3 N    97.2 W
SatEvo     May 17 18:10     May 17 19:30 +-45m        1.1 N   103.0 W

Latest elset:
Ariane Spelda    6.0  3.0  0.0  3.5 v   31       235 x 143 km
1 23178U 94040D   03137.72286608  .37427287 -35339-4  22065-2 0  1932
2 23178   7.1513 253.8782 0070030 117.5287 243.5760 16.31175591146913

SatEvo prediction:
Ariane Spelda    6.0  3.0  0.0  3.5 v   31       197 x 133 km
1 23178U 94040D   03137.78372296 1.02244955  71713+1  22559-2 0 91937
2 23178   7.1509 253.3312 0048682 118.6098 241.8808 16.40278704146927

Note: I estimate that this will decay southbound to the W of the
Galapagos Islands on the predicted SatEvo rev above.
_____________________________________________________________________


Alan
-- 
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
          *


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