Decay watch: 2002 May 27

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon May 27 2002 - 15:07:04 EDT

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    SpaceCom has posted decay predictions for two new objects, both highly 
    eccentric, low-perigee objects, #20586 and #26940. Check my Decay watch 
    page for predicted elsets, which are very uncertain for the new 
    decayers.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #20586 = 90- 39 D = Molniya 1-77 r2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   May 27 07:43     May 31 02:44 +-2d        56.7 S    20.4 W
    SatEvo     May 27 18:40     May 31 08:42 +-1.3d
    
    Latest elset:
    Molniya 1-77 r2                                  4916 x 85 km
    1 20586U 90039D   02147.71319883  .34922562  36957-5  81097-3 0  9936
    2 20586  63.2729 321.2453 2719958 245.2074  84.5173 10.37782504 87939
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #21990 = 92- 32 B = Intelsat 101 Atlas Centaur rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   May 27 08:14     May 30 08:47 +-2d        13.8 S   127.0 E
    SatEvo     May 27 18:30     May 30 23:25 +-1.1d
    
    Latest elset:
    Intl 101 Cen r   8.6  3.0  0.0  3.5 v   22       1035 x 124 km
    1 21990U 92032B   02147.60720686  .11544795 -87335-5  58205-3 0   897
    2 21990  26.1890 314.9383 0655159 300.6443  53.1397 14.95969998130417
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26940 = 01- 45 E = Raduga 1-6 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   May 27 15:08     May 31 12:58 +-2d        44.5 N   139.1 W
    SatEvo     May 27 18:55     May 31 13:15 +-1.5d
    
    Latest elset:
    Raduga 1-6 aux motor                             9129 x 105 km
    1 26940U 01045E   02147.51841590  .61599330  13238-4  63248-2 0  2195
    2 26940  46.8440 200.3072 4103321  72.8806 332.5611  7.53025707  6922
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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