A summary of the updated notices from my Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #2129 = 66- 26 B = P-35-15 Thor Altair rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 10 19:27 May 10 20:58 +-1h 16.5 N 120.2 W
SatEvo May 10 19:45 May 10 21:03 +-90m 27.1 S 129.5 W
Latest elset:
P-35-15 r 176 x 152 km
1 02129U 66026B 02130.67726861 .17637967 30110-5 87832-3 0 8315
2 02129 98.1197 238.6385 0018034 267.6022 195.9598 16.40794275924609
SatEvo prediction:
P-35-15 r 159 x 141 km
1 02129U 66026B 02130.78153242 .33481844 94362+0 69026-3 0 98310
2 02129 98.1175 238.7731 0014067 267.1732 92.6658 16.45873770924621
P-35-15 r 142 x 129 km
1 02129U 66026B 02130.84224843 .72864647 61629+1 64198-3 0 98318
2 02129 98.1157 238.8521 0009854 266.9214 92.9658 16.51620861924631
Note: I have this decaying southbound over the SE Pacific on the
last of the SatEvo-predicted revs.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #5281 = 71- 52 A = Cosmos 426
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 10 18:32 May 11 04:06 +-6h 42.7 N 30.7 W
SatEvo May 10 19:30 May 11 04:40 +-4h 21.0 S 130.6 E
Latest elset:
Cosmos 426 1.8 1.5 0.0 7.2 d 3.8 186 x 150 km
1 05281U 71052A 02130.69924381 .07071503 20054-5 35093-3 0 6617
2 05281 73.8842 244.2896 0027956 255.5263 252.3548 16.39198146575590
SatEvo prediction:
Cosmos 426 1.8 1.5 0.0 7.2 d 3.8 179 x 145 km
1 05281U 71052A 02130.79612089 .10374818 63599-1 36116-3 0 96619
2 05281 73.8833 244.0447 0025853 255.2551 104.4583 16.41303328575613
Cosmos 426 1.8 1.5 0.0 7.2 d 3.8 156 x 132 km
1 05281U 71052A 02131.03950536 .21237152 35572+0 26733-3 0 96612
2 05281 73.8811 243.4258 0018421 254.5699 105.2265 16.48247670575654
Cosmos 426 1.8 1.5 0.0 7.2 d 3.8 146 x 126 km
1 05281U 71052A 02131.10015745 .31772703 92332+0 26588-3 0 96616
2 05281 73.8801 243.2703 0015196 254.3979 105.4343 16.51358644575669
Cosmos 426 1.8 1.5 0.0 7.2 d 3.8 127 x 114 km
1 05281U 71052A 02131.16066289 .81036122 63603+1 33281-3 0 96612
2 05281 73.8785 243.1144 0009448 254.2253 105.6705 16.57203690575676
Note: I predict that this will decay southbound over Australia on
the last of these orbits. The track takes it over Taiwan at 04:29,
then just E of Manila at 04:31, over Indonesia, W of Darwin,
Australia, at 04:38 and to the W of Adelaide at 04:44.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon May 20 2002 - 18:25:35 EDT