Here is a summary of the latest update to my Decay Watch page. Check the
page for predicted elsets for the first two decayers.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #2129 = 66- 26 B = P-35-15 Thor Altair rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 9 05:27 May 11 03:00 +-1d 30.3 S 142.0 E
SatEvo May 9 19:00 May 11 05:40 +-11h
Latest elset:
P-35-15 r 222 x 197 km
1 02129U 66026B 02129.67758866 .03222901 00000-0 12224-2 0 8194
2 02129 98.1254 237.3675 0019272 266.4120 93.5370 16.23745201924441
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #5281 = 71- 52 A = Cosmos 426
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 9 05:16 May 11 02:14 +-1d 45.7 S 35.2 W
SatEvo May 9 19:10 May 11 04:35 +-10h
Latest elset:
Cosmos 426 1.8 1.5 0.0 7.2 d 3.8 220 x 175 km
1 05281U 71052A 02129.69383705 .03019701 00000-0 67236-3 0 6542
2 05281 73.8853 246.8191 0034327 253.4167 106.3122 16.28276735575436
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27427 = 02- 23 B = DirecTV Proton rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 9 04:46 May 9 04:15 +-7m 51.6 N 84.6 W
SatEvo May 9 18:45 May 9 04:24 +-20m 44.1 N 41.1 W
Final elset:
DirecTV 5 Proton r 126 x 94 km
1 27427U 02023B 02129.16379193 .99999999 12858-4 25967-3 0 142
2 27427 51.6113 121.4473 0024619 119.7336 241.0516 16.61231335 241
Note: The final elset shows this running 13 sec early against the
prediction I had posted a few hours before - this decayed more quickly
than I predicted. I put the re-entry over the North Atlantic Ocean
following a pass across N America from northern California at
04:10 UTC to St John's, Newfoundland, at 04:22. SpaceCom's decay
point is over Ontario on this path.
_____________________________________________________________________
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe'
in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org
http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon May 20 2002 - 18:25:35 EDT