The Cosmos 2319 aux motor should decay in the next few hours, possibly
in a pass across Europe. SpaceCom has also posted the first notices for
a rather old rocket. The following is taken from my updated Decay Watch
page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #2129 = 66- 26 B = P-35-15 Thor Altair rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 7 14:10 May 10 12:28 +-2d 81.5 S 66.1 W
SatEvo May 7 18:45 May 10 12:48 +-21h
Latest elset:
P-35-15 r 257 x 229 km
1 02129U 66026B 02127.51174227 .02276333 56462-2 23919-2 0 7990
2 02129 98.1235 234.6769 0021023 273.2336 86.6523 16.11313602924093
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: eclipse entry occurs near southern apex, over deepest Antarctica,
while eclipse exit is northbound near 57 deg N at about midnight local
time.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23661 = 95- 45 F = Cosmos 2319 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 7 13:42 May 7 23:16 +-6h 46.6 N 45.4 E
SatEvo May 7 18:25 May 8 02:02 +-5h 38.1 N 41.2 W
Latest elset:
C 2319 aux motor 470 x 118 km
1 23661U 95045F 02127.58027677 .30348760 11173-4 67452-3 0 6368
2 23661 46.5204 170.4446 0263886 72.9650 289.9123 15.93036864111607
SatEvo prediction:
C 2319 aux motor 400 x 116 km
1 23661U 95045F 02127.76758153 .40223288 23309+0 70833-3 0 96361
2 23661 46.5170 169.3363 0214157 74.0663 288.2829 16.06104878111632
C 2319 aux motor 303 x 111 km
1 23661U 95045F 02127.95306089 .65511379 93289+0 75759-3 0 96363
2 23661 46.5117 168.2144 0145279 75.1813 286.4235 16.24675216111668
C 2319 aux motor 255 x 109 km
1 23661U 95045F 02128.01431665 .91946854 23526+1 80919-3 0 96361
2 23661 46.5094 167.8361 0111343 75.5573 285.6757 16.34067509111672
C 2319 aux motor 174 x 103 km
1 23661U 95045F 02128.07508569 2.35869592 28672+2 10587-2 0 96369
2 23661 46.5058 167.4545 0055209 75.9367 284.6764 16.50345077111680
Note: I show this decaying northbound over the Atlantic. If it survives
there is an eastbound pass over Europe from the Bay of Biscay at 02:10
UTC, to the Black Sea coast of Bulgaria at 02:15.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon May 20 2002 - 18:25:35 EDT