Yesterday's update on the decay of #26774, the Progress M1-6 rocket,
gave a SatEvo-predicted decay time of May 22 15:25 +-18h. In fact, the
stated uncertainty should have been +-30m. Today's update for the other
current decayers follows...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11252 = 79- 5 B = Meteor 1-29 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 23 12:24 May 24 12:24 +-16h 67.6 S 128.8 E
SatEvo May 23 18:20 May 24 06:57 +-4h 37.0 N 173.4 W
Latest elset:
Meteor 1-29 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 6.1 176 x 163 km
1 11252U 79005B 01143.55315650 .04370168 24388-5 40782-3 0 8218
2 11252 97.2143 177.3696 0010014 240.5150 119.5152 16.38650603228454
SatEvo prediction: See my Decay Watch page.
(..ends)
Meteor 1-29 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 6.1 144 x 137 km
1 11252U 79005B 01144.16225863 .20879777 46086+0 27450-3 0 98219
2 11252 97.2108 178.0686 0005211 237.9509 121.9984 16.49443479228557
Meteor 1-29 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 6.1 135 x 129 km
1 11252U 79005B 01144.22287509 .39196424 17996+1 30852-3 0 98211
2 11252 97.2099 178.1389 0003926 237.6928 122.2692 16.52824070228565
Note: The latest elset shows this running only 4.5 sec late against
yesterday's SatEvo prediction. I have this decaying over the Pacific
Ocean following the northbound equator crossing at the end of the
final SatEvo-predicted rev, above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26502 = 00- 49 F = Raduga-1 5 aux motor
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 23 03:41 May 23 03:32 +-7m 6.2 S 38.5 E
SatEvo May 23 18:35 May 23 03:27 +-15m 10.0 N 24.5 E
Final elset:
Raduga-1 5 aux motor 399 x 68 km
1 26502U 00049F 01143.13075944 .99999999 78098-5 43596-3 0 3881
2 26502 46.5151 146.5883 0250142 146.1163 302.5571 16.14792254 8800
Note: The latest elset shows it running 7.4 min early against
yesterday's SatEvo prediction. I show it decaying southbound over
central Africa soon after perigee on this final orbit.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed May 23 2001 - 11:47:11 PDT