Decay watch: 2001 May 16

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed May 16 2001 - 00:20:11 PDT

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_____________________________________________________________________

Object: #26767 = 01- 19 B = PAS-10 Proton r1
(Designation corrected from "01- 19 C")

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
SpaceCom   May 15 20:19     May 16 20:24 +-15h       32.7 S    79.5 W
SatEvo     May 16 07:10     May 16 23:10 +-5h        18.3 S   138.0 W

Latest elset:
PAS-10 Proton r1                                 188 x 143 km
1 26767U 01019B   01136.20333616  .07011383  12457-4  24016-3 0    65
2 26767  51.5990 253.5159 0034449 279.4761  80.2379 16.39979368   199

SatEvo prediction:
PAS-10 Proton r1                                 182 x 140 km
1 26767U 01019B   01136.32511422  .07280883  31464-1  18769-3 0 90067
2 26767  51.5985 252.8260 0032266 279.9921  79.6439 16.41821678   211
PAS-10 Proton r1                                 172 x 135 km
1 26767U 01019B   01136.50755388  .09507586  56158-1  16028-3 0 90065
2 26767  51.5977 251.7891 0028330 280.7677  78.9134 16.44845691   246
PAS-10 Proton r1                                 157 x 127 km
1 26767U 01019B   01136.68960336  .14511315  14529+0  14071-3 0 90066
2 26767  51.5965 250.7491 0022831 281.5457  78.1979 16.49075817   275
PAS-10 Proton r1                                 131 x 114 km
1 26767U 01019B   01136.87104840  .28731782  63847+0  11471-3 0 90062
2 26767  51.5946 249.7044 0013723 282.3272  77.5190 16.56422125   308
PAS-10 Proton r1                                 116 x 105 km
1 26767U 01019B   01136.93131093  .56532360  40129+1  13390-3 0 90062
2 26767  51.5935 249.3545 0008398 282.5891  77.3169 16.61009645   318

Note: The latest elset shows this running 26 sec early against
yesterday's prediction. I show the decay occurring southbound
over the eastern Pacific.
_____________________________________________________________________


Alan
-- 
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
         *

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