SatEvo decay list #116 (issued 2001 May 13) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 July 10, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including the ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for some 8,400 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ---- Decay (2001) ---- Predicted Actual? 15553 69- 82 KS OPS 1807 ThAg deb April 15 5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April 18.49 15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor April 18.60 21841 70- 25 QM Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 20.5 26748 00- 56 H Cosmos 2372 deb April 21.3 16547 64- 6 L Elektron 1 deb April 21.5 24359 94- 29 PL STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 23.6 5393 70- 25 KY Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 25.7 Note 1 16546 64- 6 K Elektron 1 deb April 26.9 24204 94- 29 KF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 27.9 26653 99- 57 LK CBERS LM4 deb April 28.0 10960 77- 53 B NTS 2 Altas r April 28.56 26750 01- 17 B Soyuz TM-32 Soyuz-U r April 29.65 647 61- 15 GY Transit 4A deb April 29.7 25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 May 5.23 15027 84- 55 A Cosmos 1569 May 7.13 26319 99- 57 HC CBERS LM4 deb May 8.9 Note 1 26255 99- 57 ER CBERS LM4 deb May 10.4 Note 1 16235 85-105 A Cosmos 1701 May 10.58 11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r May 10.74 11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May 23 20614 90- 43 H Macsat 1 Scout deb May 24 26424 99- 57 JV CBERS LM4 deb May 24 14313 83- 90 A Molniya 3-21 May 25 26502 00- 49 G Raduga-1 5 aux motor May 25 17094 79- 17 JH Solwind deb May 26 26447 99- 57 KU CBERS LM4 deb June 2 23518 95- 9 H Glonass 71 aux motor June 5 26723 01- 10 B STS-102 deb (PAD) June 5 8298 74- 89 BF Thorad Delta 1 deb June 6 17471 86- 19 HJ Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb June 6 23989 94- 29 AK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 6 19641 87- 20 CF Cosmos 1823 deb June 8 22424 92- 93 DR Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb June 8 24337 94- 29 NN STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 9 1347 65- 20 S Cosmos 61 deb June 10 24000 94- 29 AV STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 11 7487 73- 86 FT NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb June 12 6085 70- 89 CT Cosmos 374 deb June 13 23071 89- 89 BS COBE deb June 14 26457 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 14 3524 68- 91 M Cosmos 249 deb June 16 24247 94- 29 LW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 17 26335 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 19 26337 99- 57 HW CBERS LM4 deb June 19 20611 90- 43 E Macsat 1 Scout deb June 22 26334 99- 57 HT CBERS LM4 deb June 24 25361 94- 29 ADN STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25 24767 94- 29 ABM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 26 3467 65- 82 PY OV2-1/LCS2 deb June 27 24158 94- 29 HH STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 27 4726 70- 91 X Cosmos 375 deb June 28 12750 81- 53 CT Cosmos 1275 deb June 29 24976 94- 29 ACJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 1 26295 99- 57 GH CBERS LM4 deb July 1 23099 94- 27 A SROSS-C2 July 2 26314 99- 57 GX CBERS LM4 deb July 4 22048 92- 43 F Gorizont 26 aux motor July 5 10181 77- 65 K GMS 1 Delta deb July 6 20224 64- 6 AD Elektron 1 deb July 7 26404 00- 39 A NINA/MITA O July 7 24323 96- 56 B GPS 2-27 r1 July 9 26739 01- 13 C Mars Odyssey Delta 2 r July 9 16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 July 15 18980 88- 22 A Molniya 1-72 July 17 22933 93- 78 D DBS 1 r July 20 11266 79- 11 A Cosmos 1076 July 31 18127 87- 53 B DMSP 5D-2 F8 r August 1 15955 85- 71 D Cosmos 1675 r August 19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 August 23172 94- 38 E Cosmos 2282 aux motor August 14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 September 14516 83-114 A Molniya 1-59 September Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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