USA 129 has made a small manoeuvre; alert continues

From: Ted Molczan (molczan@home.com)
Date: Wed May 09 2001 - 10:33:03 PDT

  • Next message: Alan Pickup: "Decay watch: 2001 May 9"

    USA 129 made a small manoeuvre early on 2001 May 08.
    
    This was its pre-manoeuvre orbit:
    
    USA 129         15.0  3.0  0.0  5.1 v
    1 24680U 96072A   01128.07600694  .00027884  00000-0  36783-3 0    00
    2 24680  97.8412 190.9426 0478081   1.4651 358.7960 14.83700612    09
    
    Observations late on 2000 May 08 and early May 09 by Daniel Deak, Russell
    Eberst and Rainer Kracht indicated that a small manoeuvre had occurred earlier
    in the day. (I assume that their obs will be posted to SeeSat-L, so I will not
    include them here.)
    
    It appears that the maneouvre occurred at about 04:15 UTC, when the object was
    at apogee. That would make it a perigee-raising manoeuvre. The following
    estimated elements, stated for the time of maneouvre, are in reasonable
    agreement with the post-manoeuvre observations:
    
    1 24680U 96072A   01128.17684606  .00026014  00000-0  36783-3 0    00
    2 24680  97.8412 191.0421 0475000   1.1341 177.4000 14.82982447    05
    
    I suspect that yesterday's small manoeuvre was preliminary to the expected
    larger apogee re-boost, which may already have taken place as of this writing.
    I recommend that observers be prepared tonight for a significantly late arrival
    and large deviation from the track predicted by the above elements.
    
    95066A had not manoeuvred as of my observation on 2001 May 09 at 06:46 UTC:
    
    23728 95 066A   2701 B 20010509064605100 17 25 1118500+313800 68 S
    
    I received a single point from Daniel Deak, observed on the previous rev. Here
    are updated elements:
    
    1 23728U 95066A   01129.27251736  .00022684  00000-0  49483-3 0    00
    2 23728  97.9120 241.8031 0434855 210.2130 147.3314 14.82063296    03
    
    If the major re-boost manoeuvres do not occur at this opportunity, then I
    expect them to occur at the next opportunity, on or about 2001 May 18.
    
    Ted Molczan
    
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