I note that OIG is listing Cosmos 2370 (#26354 = 00- 23 A) as "decayed"
on May 4. The final elset I have for this is:
Cosmos 2370 6.0 3.0 0.0 4.5 d 17 249 x 204 km
1 26354U 00023A 01123.80485933 .00492828 73836-5 27378-3 0 1595
2 26354 64.6874 192.5694 0033862 295.6316 64.0775 16.17588148 58547
If it had not been deorbited, and had made no further manoeuvres, its
natural decay would have been about May 15.
The following note on Cosmos 1569 is taken from my updated Decay Watch
page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #15027 = 84- 55 A = Cosmos 1569
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom May 3 11:44 May 3 23:43 +-23h 59.8 S 175.3 W
SatEvo May 6 15:45 May 6 22:53 +-4h 61.1 S 148.3 E
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1569 2006 x 77 km
1 15027U 84055A 01126.51679079 .99999999 13627-5 11021-2 0 8836
2 15027 62.2045 104.2837 1299793 248.4695 260.7816 13.58429106124814
SatEvo prediction:
Cosmos 1569 1703 x 81 km
1 15027U 84055A 01126.62916756 1.90641086 10035+1 16837-2 0 98831
2 15027 62.1802 103.9554 1115925 248.5007 99.2486 14.00571489124838
Cosmos 1569 1508 x 80 km
1 15027U 84055A 01126.70011749 2.16072546 14060+1 17023-2 0 98836
2 15027 62.1683 103.7370 0995819 248.5216 100.5776 14.29323918124840
Cosmos 1569 1297 x 79 km
1 15027U 84055A 01126.76960110 2.52815283 21738+1 17298-2 0 98834
2 15027 62.1550 103.5132 0861617 248.5433 102.0559 14.61717582124853
Cosmos 1569 1058 x 78 km
1 15027U 84055A 01126.83748748 3.12948398 40329+1 17801-2 0 98831
2 15027 62.1394 103.2830 0705632 248.5658 103.7649 14.99713756124863
Cosmos 1569 769 x 76 km
1 15027U 84055A 01126.90355661 4.40481381 11803+2 18761-2 0 98835
2 15027 62.1194 103.0447 0509232 248.5894 105.9032 15.48143215124876
Cosmos 1569 280 x 72 km
1 15027U 84055A 01126.96736038 9.99999999 50000+2 31803-2 0 98834
2 15027 62.0981 102.7930 0158553 248.6148 109.6861 16.36159787124882
Note: The latest elset shows this running only 11.5 minutes late against
yesterday's prediction. SpaceCom has still not renewed its decay
estimate. I now predict that this will decay near southern apex far to
the S of Australia on the penultimate of these SatEvo predicted orbits.
With the continuing trend for the predicted decay to drift later, this
could yet survive until the 7th UTC.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun May 06 2001 - 09:08:28 PDT