Decay watch: 2000 May 23

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue May 23 2000 - 12:26:34 PDT

  • Next message: Leo Barhorst: "Obs May 22nd"

    #20496 = 90- 15 A = LACE (USA 51)
    
    SpaceCom's latest warning predicts decay at May 25 00:34 UTC +-1d near
    1.9 N, 105.2 W.
             _________________________________________
    
    #25235 = 98- 12 C = SNOE Pegasus rocket
    
    Latest decay predictions:
            SpaceCom: May 25 04:34 +-22h       24.5 N   110.4 E
            SatEvo  : May 25 07:30 +-9h        40.6 N    61.5 E
    My prediction puts decay on a northbound pass to the east of the Caspian
    Sea. If it survives further around this orbit, this may pass southwards
    across Canada and the USA from Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, at 07:51 UTC to
    Billings, Montana, at 07:52, Salt Lake City, Utah, at 07:53, and
    Phoenix, Arizona, at 07:55. The decay-time uncertainty is still several
    hours.
    The latest elset:
    SNOE Pegasus r   1.3  1.0  0.0  7.5 d  1.0       247 x 235 km
    1 25235U 98012C   00144.57922254  .03200826  19124-1  37808-2 0  8437
    2 25235  97.6506  61.7093 0009171 137.1309 223.0684 16.12046154123955
    
    
    More details at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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