Decay watch: 2000 May 18

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Thu May 18 2000 - 13:37:08 PDT

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    Today's second update to my Decay Watch page at
               http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    carries updates on the following decayers.
    
    
    #20338 = 89- 94 A = Molniya 3-36
    
    Latest decay predictions:
            SpaceCom: May 19 22:11 +-1d        23.2 S    32.3 W
            SatEvo  : May 19 18:42 +-7h        63.4 S    96.6 E
    I put the decay near southern apex, far to the S of India, on the final
    predicted orbit:
    Molniya 3-36                                     728 x 73 km
    1 20338U 89094A   00140.73101257 4.67747593  11419+2  16349-2 0 98809
    2 20338  63.2442 345.7381 0482961 247.3307 107.4923 15.55571832 77851
             _________________________________________
    
    #22726 = 93- 48 D = InSat 2B Spelda
    
    Latest predictions:
            SpaceCom: May 20 08:54 +-1d         6.5 S   153.4 W
            SatEvo  : May 20 15:37 +-11h        5.9 N    89.6 W
             _________________________________________
    
    #23098 = 94- 26 B = USA 103 Titan 4 Centaur r
    
    Final analyses of this decay earlier today:
            SpaceCom: May 18 12:56 +-3h        63.0 S   117.0 W
            SatEvo  : May 18 12:58 +-95m       61.9 S    92.8 W
    My prediction for the final elset is:
    USA 103 Titan Centaur r                          597 x 72 km
    1 23098U 94026B   00139.49126924 4.64969560  16893+2  13436-2 0 90225
    2 23098  63.0382  49.2456 0390945 258.1080  97.4827 15.78611119  5406
    I put decay just a little beyond perigee on this orbit, while it was
    eastbound to the SW of South America. It is possible that re-entry came
    almost exactly one orbit earlier or later.
             _________________________________________
    
    Latest elsets for the first two of these objects:
    Molniya 3-36                                     3141 x 81 km
    1 20338U 89094A   00139.76208140  .05266150  12345-4  70339-4 0  8806
    2 20338  63.3975 348.3515 1914961 247.3080  91.3506 12.15768501 77728
    InSat 2B Splda                                   899 x 147 km
    1 22726U 93048D   00139.65830513  .16471458 -27123-4  40542-2 0  8753
    2 22726   7.0939 344.3578 0544571 356.3660   2.9937 15.14440311 99224
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu May 18 2000 - 13:43:55 PDT