Decay watch: 2000 May 12

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Fri May 12 2000 - 12:47:53 PDT

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    There was a minor geomagnetic storm earlier today and the prospect of
    more in the coming couple of days. However, of the current decayers,
    only #26085 appears to have been hit, with its drag rate increasing by
    30% over the expected level. The following is a summary of the more
    detailed information on my Decay Watch page at
             http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    
    
    #20338 = 89- 94 A = Molniya 3-36
    
    SpaceCom did not renew its premature prediction of decay on the 6th. My
    current estimate is for decay at May 20.1 +-2.5d
             _________________________________________
    
    #10135 = 77- 61 B = Cosmos 925 r
    
    No SpaceCom prediction yet, but I show decay at May 17 04:14 +-1.1d.
    The latest elset is:
    Cosmos 925 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v   11       230 x 215 km
    1 10135U 77061B   00133.69052342  .01427492 -94235-6  81708-3 0  7397
    2 10135  81.1962 224.9015 0011327 243.1803 116.8232 16.18880095259462
             _________________________________________
    
    #26085 = 00-  8 E = Globalstar 63 Delta 2 r
    
    In two further predictions, SpaceCom has shifted the decay earlier to
    May 14 14:43 +-1d near 17.4 S, 39.0 W. I now get May 14 21:23 +-13h.
    The latest elset is:
    Gbstr 63 Del r   7.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d   15       296 x 163 km
    1 26085U 00008E   00133.55027731  .03331127  11614-4  79955-3 0  2185
    2 26085  49.5312 229.8328 0100028 307.2894  51.8990 16.16353497 14423
             _________________________________________
    
    #26114 = 00- 17 B = IMAGE Delta 2 r
    
    I'm still alone with this one, too, predicting its decay for May 17
    05:03 +-1.1d. The latest elset is:
    IMAGE Del r      7.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d  7.8       406 x 167 km
    1 26114U 00017B   00133.56469611  .02630720 -21336-6  11055-2 0  1153
    2 26114  91.2849 194.0683 0179880 347.1669  12.5100 15.95657613  7283
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri May 12 2000 - 12:51:03 PDT