SatEvo decay list #77

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 17 May 1999 21:03:05 +0100

SatEvo decay list #77  (issued 1999 May 17)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses 
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
   http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects
are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by
1999 June 30, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers 
are included beyond that date.

This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via 
my SatEvo page at
               http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all
the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus
elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, 
and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects.


   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (1999) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 23578   94- 85 Y   Rad Rosto deb                       May  1  Note 1
   388   62- 39 D   FTV 3502 Scout r                    May  2.87
 24598   94- 29 ZA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                  May  3
 25699   89-100 AU  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb                May  4?
 22583   93- 17 C   GPS 2-19 r1                         May  4.92
 18744   87- 20 X   Cosmos 1823 deb                     May  6
 24042   94- 29 CP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                  May  6
 25206   87- 68 AH  Meteor 2-16 deb                     May  6  Note 1
 25705   89-100 BA  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb                May  6  Note 1
 25706   89-100 BB  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb                May  6  Note 1
 25188   87- 68 P   Meteor 2-16 deb                     May  7  Note 1
 25729   99- 24 C   Orion 3 deb                         May  7
  8755   76- 24 B   Cosmos 808 r                        May  8.36
 11553   79-  4 D   Molniya 3-11 r2                     May  8.60
 25692   86- 17 NF  Mir deb                             May 10
 25696   89-100 AR  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb                May 10  Note 1
 25698   89-100 AT  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb                May 11
 25707   89-100 BC  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb                May 11
 22508   92- 93 GT  C 2227 Zenit deb                    May 12
 24013   94- 29 BJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                  May 12
 24229   94- 29 LC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                  May 12
 25715   89-100 BL  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb                May 15
 25347   98- 32 F   Iridium 70 Delta r                  May 15.60
 14492   77- 65 FH  Himawari 1 Delta deb       May 19
 25697   89-100 AS  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb       May 19
  8538   72- 58 GM  Landsat 1 Delta deb        May 21
 22497   92- 93 GG  C 2227 Zenit deb           May 21
 19532   88- 89 B   NOAA 11 deb                May 22
 25252   87- 68 BV  Meteor 2-16 deb            May 23
 25708   89-100 BD  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb       May 24
 25713   89-100 BJ  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb       May 24
 25185   87- 68 L   Meteor 2-16 deb            May 26
 13469   81- 53 FR  Cosmos 1275 deb            May 27
 25055   78- 64 J   Seasat 1 deb               May 29
 25139   98-  2 F   Skynet 4D Delta 2 deb      May 30
 25701   89-100 AW  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June  1
 25683   99- 20 B   Landsat 7 Delta 2 r       June  2
 20352   89- 96 A   Granat                    June  3
 25700   89-100 AV  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June  3
 24319   96- 49 E   FAST Pegasus deb          June  4
 25716   89-100 BM  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June  4
  5432   70- 89 BY  Cosmos 374 deb            June  6
 25718   89-100 BP  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June  6
 25710   89-100 BF  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June  8
 23311   85-118 W   C 1710 Proton deb         June  9?
 24162   94- 29 HM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 11
 25690   86- 17 ND  Mir deb                   June 12
 23186   94- 43 B   APStar 1 CZ-3 r           June 13
 25728   99- 24 B   Orion 3 Delta 3 r         June 14
 25711   89-100 BG  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June 15
 24589   94- 29 YR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 17
 24609   94- 29 ZM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 18
 25704   89-100 AZ  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June 18
 24203   94- 29 KE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 19
 25719   89-100 BQ  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June 20
  4120   69- 84 B   Meteor 1-2 r              June 21
 25703   89-100 AY  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June 25
 24096   94- 29 ET  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 26
 21521   75- 52 GS  Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb      June 27
 23558   86- 17 JE  GFZ 1                     June 28
 23690   86- 17 JM  Mir deb                   June 29
 24088   94- 29 EK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 30
 25670   99- 17 B   DSP 19 Titan 4 r          July 11
 14168   83- 65 C   Galaxy 1 PAM D r          July 20
 12133   81-  2 A   Molniya 3-14              July 26
 25500   98- 25 F   C 2350 aux motor        August
 25685   99- 21 A   Sputnik 99              August
 15076   84- 63 E   Raduga 15 aux motor  September
 25625   99-  4 E   Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 September
 22878   93- 68 B   GPS 2-23 Delta r1      October
 24744   97- 10 A   Zeya                   October
 25550   98- 69 B   SAC-A                 November
 25653   99- 12 E   Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1  November
 25680   99- 19 E   Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1  November
 24832   97- 28 E   C 2344 SOZ ullage r   December
 24972   97- 57 B   IRS-1D r              December
 25551   98- 69 C   MightySat             December
  1844   65-106 B   Cosmos 100 r          2000 Jan - Feb
  7969   75- 56 B   Cosmos 744 r          2000 Jan - Feb
 22016   92- 39 C   Navstar 26 Del 2 r2   2000 Jan - Feb
 22564   93- 15 B   UFO 1 r1              2000 Jan - Feb
 22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2     2000 Jan - Feb
 25014   97- 63 B   STEP M4 Pegasus r     2000 Jan - Feb

Note

1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay.


Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/