The Soyuz-U rocket which launched Progress M-39 is due to decay at about May 16.9 (+-0.3d) according to my calculations. This is leaving eclipse in the Earth's shadow near 49 deg N latitude in the local morning sky and entering eclipse near 49 deg S latitude in the evening. The latest elset from OIG is Prog M-39 Soyuz-U r 202 x 180 km 1 25341U 98031B 98135.53141872 .03473879 12174-4 66814-3 0 71 2 25341 51.6242 212.2497 0016507 71.9108 288.3680 16.30593789 94 My SatEvo predicted elsets to decay: Prog M-39 Soyuz-U r 196 x 176 km 1 25341U 98031B 98135.77640562 .04030566 10206-1 65138-3 0 90078 2 25341 51.6237 210.8813 0014949 72.9325 287.2312 16.32383393 139 Prog M-39 Soyuz-U r 189 x 172 km 1 25341U 98031B 98136.02111073 .04973598 16030-1 64541-3 0 90076 2 25341 51.6231 209.5106 0013211 73.9560 286.1894 16.34569048 178 Prog M-39 Soyuz-U r 180 x 166 km 1 25341U 98031B 98136.26544725 .06585158 29995-1 63377-3 0 90079 2 25341 51.6223 208.1371 0011211 74.9816 285.1424 16.37353122 211 Prog M-39 Soyuz-U r 168 x 157 km 1 25341U 98031B 98136.50929325 .09884086 64680-1 59870-3 0 90077 2 25341 51.6212 206.7600 0008770 76.0100 284.0874 16.41269068 254 Prog M-39 Soyuz-U r 148 x 141 km 1 25341U 98031B 98136.75238695 .21244304 40309+0 33579-3 0 90072 2 25341 51.6192 205.3771 0005319 77.0428 283.0165 16.48044949 297 Prog M-39 Soyuz-U r 139 x 134 km 1 25341U 98031B 98136.81296497 .32611990 11112+1 30134-3 0 90079 2 25341 51.6183 205.0299 0004021 77.3022 282.7428 16.51195443 301 Prog M-39 Soyuz-U r 121 x 119 km 1 25341U 98031B 98136.87338521 .96137441 16112+2 35687-3 0 90078 2 25341 51.6167 204.6815 0002012 77.5625 282.4601 16.57425875 313 Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/