SatEvo decay list #53 (issued 1998 May 4) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html The "Actual" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included here if I anticipate their decay by June 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ In addition you can find current elsets for the still-to-decay objects below, together with other objects of interest, including Mir, the Iridium satellites and all recently launched/catalogued objects. These files are mirrored for anonymous FTP access at ftp://ftp.satellite.eu.org/pub/sat/mirrors/pickup/ and are updated several times daily. # Designation Name ----- Decay (1998) ----- Predicted Actual? 24787 97- 19 B GOES 10 Centaur r April 21.98 23193 94- 47 B DBS 2 Atlas Centaur r April 22.20 20132 88- 98 C TDF 1 Ariane 2 deb April 23.0 25264 98- 18 C Iridium 51 CZ-2C r April 24.35 25144 87- 79 M Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb April 24 25299 98- 19 H Iridium 55 deb April 24 25044 97- 69 F Iridium 43 Delta r April 25.71 23063 89- 89 BJ COBE deb April 26? Note 1 25196 87- 68 X Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb April 27? Note 1 22943 83- 75 AG Cosmos 1484 deb April 28 25177 87- 68 C Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb April 29? Note 1 25283 86- 17 MM Mir deb April 29.8 25317 98- 25 C Cosmos 2350 Proton plat April 29.92 25298 98- 19 G Iridium 55 deb April 30.3 14034 83- 38 A Cosmos 1456 April 30.7 25316 98- 25 B Cosmos 2350 Proton r May 2.10 24083 94- 29 EE STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 3 23910 86- 17 KY Mir deb May 4.2 19380 88- 69 D Molniya 1-73 r2 May 6 25323 98- 26 E Iridium 69 CZ-2C deb May 6 25326 98- 26 H Iridium 69 CZ-2C deb May 6 24423 94- 29 SB STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 7 21895 92- 10 C Superbird B1 Ariane r May 8 25265 98- 18 D Iridium 51 CS02 S/D May 8 21057 91- 3 C Italsat 1 Ariane r May 9 24354 94- 29 PF STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 13 22852 89- 89 AP COBE deb May 14 23069 89- 89 BQ COBE deb May 14 Note 1 24214 94- 29 KM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 14 25277 98- 19 F Iridium 55 Delta r May 14 24408 94- 29 RM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 17 24419 86- 17 LV Mir deb May 17 24554 94- 29 XE STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 17 24958 97- 58 C Sputnik-40 May 17 24747 97- 10 D Zeya deb May 18 25250 87- 68 BT Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb May 20 25195 87- 68 W Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb May 21 24098 94- 29 EV STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 22 15344 71-120 F Meteor 1-10 SL-3 deb May 23 24633 94- 29 AAM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 23 24991 94- 29 ACY STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 23 25293 86- 17 MN Mir deb May 24 25303 86- 17 MT Mir deb May 25 25304 86- 17 MU Mir deb May 27 24552 94- 29 XC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 28 24746 97- 10 C Zeya deb May 29 23085 89- 89 CG COBE deb May 31 24384 94- 29 QM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 1 23920 86- 17 LG Mir deb June 2 25321 98- 26 C Iridium 69 CZ-2C r June 2 23262 90- 81 CT FY-1B CZ-4 deb June 12 24649 96- 62 B Mars GS Delta 2 r June 14 25109 97- 82 F Iridium 45 Delta r June 27 14041 83- 38 E Cosmos 1456 r July 19730 88-115 A Molniya 1-74 July Note 1 24294 96- 50 D Interbol 2 Molniya-M r July 25087 97- 78 B Galaxy 8I Centaur r July 25322 98- 26 D Iridium 69 CZ-2C S/D July 12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 August 25174 98- 10 F Iridium 50 Delta r August 25100 97- 58 D Inspektor October Note 1. No recent elsets. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/