SatEvo decay list #53

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 4 May 1998 18:42:20 +0100

SatEvo decay list #53  (issued 1998 May 4)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses 
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
   http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html

The "Actual" decay dates are my estimates based on the published 
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days.
Objects are included here if I anticipate their decay by June 15, 
although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included 
beyond that date.

This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via 
my SatEvo page at
               http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
In addition you can find current elsets for the still-to-decay 
objects below, together with other objects of interest, including 
Mir, the Iridium satellites and all recently launched/catalogued 
objects. These files are mirrored for anonymous FTP access at
        ftp://ftp.satellite.eu.org/pub/sat/mirrors/pickup/
and are updated several times daily.

   #    Designation    Name               ----- Decay (1998) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 24787   97- 19 B   GOES 10 Centaur r                 April 21.98
 23193   94- 47 B   DBS 2 Atlas Centaur r             April 22.20
 20132   88- 98 C   TDF 1 Ariane 2 deb                April 23.0
 25264   98- 18 C   Iridium 51 CZ-2C r                April 24.35
 25144   87- 79 M   Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb             April 24
 25299   98- 19 H   Iridium 55 deb                    April 24
 25044   97- 69 F   Iridium 43 Delta r                April 25.71
 23063   89- 89 BJ  COBE deb                          April 26?   Note 1
 25196   87- 68 X   Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb             April 27?   Note 1
 22943   83- 75 AG  Cosmos 1484 deb                   April 28
 25177   87- 68 C   Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb             April 29?   Note 1
 25283   86- 17 MM  Mir deb                           April 29.8
 25317   98- 25 C   Cosmos 2350 Proton plat           April 29.92
 25298   98- 19 G   Iridium 55 deb                    April 30.3
 14034   83- 38 A   Cosmos 1456                       April 30.7
 25316   98- 25 B   Cosmos 2350 Proton r                May  2.10
 24083   94- 29 EE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                  May  3
 23910   86- 17 KY  Mir deb                    May  4.2
 19380   88- 69 D   Molniya 1-73 r2            May  6
 25323   98- 26 E   Iridium 69 CZ-2C deb       May  6
 25326   98- 26 H   Iridium 69 CZ-2C deb       May  6
 24423   94- 29 SB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May  7
 21895   92- 10 C   Superbird B1 Ariane r      May  8
 25265   98- 18 D   Iridium 51 CS02 S/D        May  8
 21057   91-  3 C   Italsat 1 Ariane r         May  9
 24354   94- 29 PF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 13
 22852   89- 89 AP  COBE deb                   May 14
 23069   89- 89 BQ  COBE deb                   May 14  Note 1
 24214   94- 29 KM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 14
 25277   98- 19 F   Iridium 55 Delta r         May 14
 24408   94- 29 RM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 17
 24419   86- 17 LV  Mir deb                    May 17
 24554   94- 29 XE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 17
 24958   97- 58 C   Sputnik-40                 May 17
 24747   97- 10 D   Zeya deb                   May 18
 25250   87- 68 BT  Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb      May 20
 25195   87- 68 W   Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb      May 21
 24098   94- 29 EV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 22
 15344   71-120 F   Meteor 1-10 SL-3 deb       May 23
 24633   94- 29 AAM STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 23
 24991   94- 29 ACY STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 23
 25293   86- 17 MN  Mir deb                    May 24
 25303   86- 17 MT  Mir deb                    May 25
 25304   86- 17 MU  Mir deb                    May 27
 24552   94- 29 XC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 28
 24746   97- 10 C   Zeya deb                   May 29
 23085   89- 89 CG  COBE deb                   May 31
 24384   94- 29 QM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June  1
 23920   86- 17 LG  Mir deb                   June  2
 25321   98- 26 C   Iridium 69 CZ-2C r        June  2
 23262   90- 81 CT  FY-1B CZ-4 deb            June 12
 24649   96- 62 B   Mars GS Delta 2 r         June 14
 25109   97- 82 F   Iridium 45 Delta r        June 27
 14041   83- 38 E   Cosmos 1456 r             July
 19730   88-115 A   Molniya 1-74              July     Note 1
 24294   96- 50 D   Interbol 2 Molniya-M r    July
 25087   97- 78 B   Galaxy 8I Centaur r       July
 25322   98- 26 D   Iridium 69 CZ-2C S/D      July
 12519   81- 54 E   Molniya 3-16 r2         August
 25174   98- 10 F   Iridium 50 Delta r      August
 25100   97- 58 D   Inspektor              October

Note

1. No recent elsets.


Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W    156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:      alan@wingar.demon.co.uk       +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/