Hi All, For fun I decided to run a little calculation to see what the reentry probabilities are for Cosmos 2350 Proton R/B. Assuming Alan's reentry of roughly May 2nd 2:30 UTC +/- 2 hours, here are the probabilities: Pacific Ocean: 40.6% South Atlantic Ocean: 23.3% Asia: 18.8% Africa: 12.5% South America: 1.5% Indian Ocean: 0.8% Mediterranean: 0.8% Red Sea: 0.4% China Sea: 0.4% Black Sea: 0.4% Falklands: 0.2% Japan: 0.2% Combined probability over water: 66.9% 0% probability for North America, Europe and Australia.