#24806 (Cosmos 2343 r) decay

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 19 May 1997 21:16:55 +0100

OIG is/are alive! :-)

The (bright) Soyuz-U rocket responsible for the recent launch of Cosmos
2343 will decay at about May 20.5 according to my analysis of the latest
five elsets.

The latest elset from OIG is:
Cosmos 2343 r                                    210 x 157 km
1 24806U 97024B   97139.63530388  .04393917  76287-5  51548-3 0   298
2 24806  64.8646  76.1250 0040180  58.5561 301.9558 16.33269278   671

Here are my predicted elsets from now through decay:
Cosmos 2343 r                                    201 x 155 km
1 24806U 97024B   97139.81884791  .06065676  23540-1  52176-3 0 90295
2 24806  64.8640  75.4209 0035573  58.4750 301.8718 16.35401237   706
Cosmos 2343 r                                    198 x 154 km
1 24806U 97024B   97139.87998259  .06534942  27944-1  50428-3 0 90293
2 24806  64.8637  75.1859 0033900  58.4479 301.8825 16.36170728   719
Cosmos 2343 r                                    195 x 153 km
1 24806U 97024B   97139.94108726  .07098585  33776-1  48664-3 0 90291
2 24806  64.8635  74.9507 0032141  58.4208 301.8924 16.37002678   720
Cosmos 2343 r                                    191 x 152 km
1 24806U 97024B   97140.00215935  .07789783  41743-1  46891-3 0 90291
2 24806  64.8632  74.7153 0030280  58.3937 301.9013 16.37910407   731
Cosmos 2343 r                                    187 x 150 km
1 24806U 97024B   97140.06319572  .08659781  53065-1  45117-3 0 90294
2 24806  64.8629  74.4798 0028299  58.3666 301.9091 16.38912252   743
Cosmos 2343 r                                    183 x 149 km
1 24806U 97024B   97140.12419242  .09791814  69778-1  43353-3 0 90299
2 24806  64.8625  74.2441 0026171  58.3395 301.9154 16.40034524   759
Cosmos 2343 r                                    178 x 147 km
1 24806U 97024B   97140.18514427  .11312155  95298-1  41562-3 0 90292
2 24806  64.8621  74.0081 0023854  58.3123 301.9200 16.41315896   765
Cosmos 2343 r                                    172 x 144 km
1 24806U 97024B   97140.24604430  .13501694  15141+0  39852-3 0 90299
2 24806  64.8615  73.7719 0021289  58.2852 301.9222 16.42818291   773
Cosmos 2343 r                                    166 x 142 km
1 24806U 97024B   97140.30688240  .16966976  25538+0  38348-3 0 90298
2 24806  64.8609  73.5354 0018372  58.2580 301.9209 16.44653925   785
Cosmos 2343 r                                    157 x 137 km
1 24806U 97024B   97140.36764225  .23501153  54403+0  37526-3 0 90292
2 24806  64.8602  73.2984 0014899  58.2307 301.9143 16.47063232   798
Cosmos 2343 r                                    144 x 131 km
1 24806U 97024B   97140.42829151  .41803690  20773+1  39509-3 0 90297
2 24806  64.8590  73.0609 0010323  58.2035 301.8970 16.50780200   806

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224