Decay update

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 17 May 1996 21:53:26 +0100

My analysis of the recent elements for #23849 = 96- 23 B (Priroda R) 
suggests decay will occur at about May 19.08.

The latest OIG element is:
Priroda R
1 23849U 96023B   96138.38389861  .01938953  12170-4  28311-3 0   586
2 23849  51.6483 268.4611 0016958 200.4040 159.6389 16.33286122  3864

Predicted elements:
Priroda R
1 23849U 96023B   96139.05606343  .03632653  95466-2  34354-3 0 90588
2 23849  51.6472 264.6880 0013156 203.2166 156.7239 16.37405638  3978
Priroda R
1 23849U 96023B   96139.54368030  .06089878  29556-1  32283-3 0 90583
2 23849  51.6459 261.9344 0009491 205.2693 154.6842 16.41921592  4056
Priroda R
1 23849U 96023B   96140.02927173  .44332409  26633+1  24937-3 0 90589
2 23849  51.6425 259.1654 0002717 207.3339 152.6518 16.54443111  4133

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Object #11791 = 80- 32 B (Atlas F R) is now predicted to decay 
at about May 22.1.

The latest OIG element is 
80- 32 B
1 11791U 80032B   96137.97732604  .02861540  76688-5  17024-3 0  5142
2 11791  62.9624 303.2677 0300249 274.2915  82.4152 15.78313124385188

My SatEvo predictions are:
80- 32 B
1 11791U 80032B   96139.05162913  .03601122  72896-3  19033-3 0 95148
2 11791  62.9598 299.1701 0269103 274.4415  82.4871 15.86260363385351
80- 32 B
1 11791U 80032B   96140.05795687  .04093129  28813-2  20227-3 0 95149
2 11791  62.9571 295.2898 0237894 274.5843  82.7023 15.93897520385513
80- 32 B
1 11791U 80032B   96141.05901199  .05783361  52054-2  25907-3 0 95146
2 11791  62.9539 291.3830 0198921 274.7290  83.0019 16.03452078385678


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I am now predicting the decay of #23559 = 86- 17 JF (GFZ 1 deb) at 
about May 19.45.

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224