Yesterday's decay of the Progress rocket kept close to prediction,
though I know of no sightings on its final revs. Here is a summary of my
updated Decay Watch page - check there for predicted elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #15679 = 85- 35 C = GStar 1 Ariane 3 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 24 05:37 Mar 27 02:27 +-2d 2.6 S 119.8 W
SatEvo Mar 24 15:00 Mar 27 03:55 +-20h
Latest elset:
GStar 1 Ariane 3 r 888 x 142 km
1 15679U 85035C 02083.54109739 .09904230 -28053-4 15942-2 0 1333
2 15679 6.5181 144.0892 0541111 254.1632 99.9363 15.17015300221686
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25018 = 97- 64 B = Lacrosse 3 Titan 4 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 24 08:50 Mar 26 07:56 +-1d 35.6 S 154.5 E
SatEvo Mar 24 15:15 Mar 26 07:11 +-12h 41.5 N 7.8 W
Latest elset:
Lacrosse 3 r 10.0 3.5 0.0 3.5 v 26 217 x 189 km
1 25018U 97064B 02083.57777958 .06145854 11229-4 17875-2 0 791
2 25018 56.9820 257.0880 0021033 288.5483 71.3285 16.26052126240187
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27393 = 02- 12 C = GRACE 1 Briz-KM rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 24 09:21 Mar 26 17:00 +-1d 38.8 N 84.2 W
SatEvo Mar 24 15:25 Mar 27 11:30 +-1d
Latest elset:
GRACE 1 Briz-KM r 361 x 135 km
1 27393U 02012C 02083.54255472 .03548538 -11056-5 17350-3 0 294
2 27393 89.0063 353.4619 0170436 234.4917 124.0440 16.09593418 1141
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27396 = 02- 13 B = Progress M1-8 Soyuz-U rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
SpaceCom Mar 23 13:29 Mar 23 13:26 +-7m 47.0 N 158.0 E
SatEvo Mar 24 12:00 Mar 23 13:22 +-12m 36.7 N 137.4 E
Final elset:
Progress M1-8 Soyuz-U r 146 x 133 km
1 27396U 02013B 02082.48834518 .36448153 12664-4 38621-3 0 144
2 27396 51.6100 123.2612 0009544 94.4683 265.7452 16.49950981 277
Note: The final elset has this running 8 sec early against the
prediction I had posted a few hours earlier. My estimate puts the decay
northbound over Japan, a little before SpaceCom's time.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Mar 24 2002 - 10:33:17 EST