Here is a summary of the latest updates to my Decay Watch page,
including the first notice for Cosmos 1658 rocket. Check the page for
predicted elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #15811 = 85- 45 D = Cosmos 1658 r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 15 10:32 Mar 18 10:47 +-2d 57.6 S 11.3 E
SatEvo Mar 15 20:50 Mar 18 17:28 +-1.2d
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1658 r 2792 x 88 km
1 15811U 85045D 02074.38745524 .27003875 11447-4 47197-3 0 7957
2 15811 62.6210 51.5660 1729311 247.9307 293.4243 12.56011500 60828
Note: This enters eclipse while southbound near 50 deg N at ~01h
local time. Eclipse exit occurs southbound near 30 deg S at ~05h.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #19189 = 88- 44 A = Molniya 3-32
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 15 14:02 Mar 15 12:51 +-7m 56.1 S 39.2 E
SatEvo Mar 15 20:20 Mar 15 12:54 +-10m 50.2 S 50.3 E
Final elset:
Molniya 3-32 435 x 67 km
1 19189U 88044A 02074.51475350 .99999999 87825-5 75316-3 0 437
2 19189 62.3792 95.5057 0277362 274.1539 252.7786 16.08578868 67285
Note: It seems certain that this decayed soon after perigee on the
orbit represented by the final elset. This puts it NE-bound over the
far-SW Indian Ocean.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23742 = 95- 69 B = Galaxy 3R Atlas 2A Centaur rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 15 16:52 Mar 16 04:04 +-11h 13.0 N 97.1 W
SatEvo Mar 15 20:35 Mar 16 03:45 +-6h 26.7 N 154.8 W
Latest elset:
Galaxy 3R Centaur r 596 x 124 km
1 23742U 95069B 02074.41909722 .25859493 -80800-5 91350-3 0 2951
2 23742 26.5698 349.7284 0350384 57.2297 105.3154 15.69781138 95910
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(..ends)
Galaxy 3R Centaur r 300 x 112 km
1 23742U 95069B 02075.08003148 .81830880 13625+1 94561-3 0 92954
2 23742 26.5601 344.6864 0142833 65.6853 295.7997 16.25040228 96024
Galaxy 3R Centaur r 237 x 108 km
1 23742U 95069B 02075.14113412 1.31839152 64105+1 10401-2 0 92953
2 23742 26.5575 344.1947 0097970 66.5100 294.5164 16.37452984 96030
Note: Once again there is a dearth of recent elsets. I continue to show
this decaying while westbound a little to the north of the Hawaiian Is.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Mar 15 2002 - 16:00:09 EST