Decay Watch: 2001 Mar 22

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Thu Mar 22 2001 - 12:54:50 PST

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    From my updated Decay watch page...
    
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #22233 = 92- 79 C = GPS 2-16 r2 (PAD-D)
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Mar 21 17:20     Mar 24 14:08 +-2d         5.1 S    68.1 W
    SatEvo     Mar 22 20:30     Mar 25 02:42 +-18h
    
    Latest elset:
    GPS 2-16 r2      3.0  1.5  0.0  6.5 d  3.1       614 x 132 km
    1 22233U 92079C   01081.39377580  .07484210  00000-0  44293-3 0  8171
    2 22233  34.4916 347.6517 0356687 103.1482 260.9872 15.65151938208837
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 18 sec late against 
    yesterday's prediction.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26059 = 00-  3 B = Zhongxing-22 CZ-3A rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Mar 22 08:42     Mar 23 09:06 +-16h       18.8 S    87.3 E
    SatEvo     Mar 22 20:45     Mar 23 10:06 +-5h        10.8 S    36.5 W
    
    Latest elsets:
    Zhongxing-22 CZ-3A r                             1134 x 100 km
    1 26059U 00003B   01081.47754461  .43325799  00000-0  72977-3 0  5570
    2 26059  24.5665  98.2177 0738814 279.9549  71.8647 14.83964148 12826
    Zhongxing-22 CZ-3A r                             1083 x 70 km
    1 26059U 00003B   01081.61149685  .50059652  00000-0  15889-3 0  5582
    2 26059  24.5623  97.3155 0728783 280.7108  71.2455 14.96939098 12844
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    ..(ends)
    Zhongxing-22 CZ-3A r                             408 x 97 km
    1 26059U 00003B   01082.32414458 1.71930049  36504+1  13350-2 0 95550
    2 26059  24.5509  92.1844 0234531 289.8017  67.6848 16.07903749 12727
    Zhongxing-22 CZ-3A r                             250 x 94 km
    1 26059U 00003B   01082.38590417 3.91491901  50000+2  17987-2 0 95557
    2 26059  24.5455  91.6858 0119563 290.6615  68.0606 16.37733748 12738
    
    Note: The latest elset has this 8 sec early against yesterday's 
    prediction but this certainly has a too-low perigee. I show it
    decaying southbound on a track across S America from Panama at 
    09:54 UTC to Recife, Brazil, at 10:06.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Mar 22 2001 - 13:03:20 PST