Decay watch: 2001 Mar 16

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Fri Mar 16 2001 - 11:55:13 PST

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    The following is taken from my Decay Watch page...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26399 = 00- 36 F = Cosmos 2371 aux motor
    
    Final decay analyses:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Mar 16 18:24     Mar 16 18:34 +-1h         5.7 S   105.6 W
    SatEvo     Mar 16 19:30     Mar 16 18:03 -60+30m     43.9 N   141.2 E
    
    Final elset:
    Cosmos 2371 aux motor                            460 x 95 km
    1 26399U 00036F   01075.67913745  .99999999  81569-5  28827-2 0  3385
    2 26399  46.5258 161.8642 0274783 126.8985 236.0481 15.98941841  8012
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this to be running 2.4 min early against 
    the prediction I posted yesterday. I show this decaying over northern
    Japan as it approached northern apex of the orbit after that given
    by the final elset.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26691 = 01-  4 B = GPS2R-7 Delta 2 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Mar 16 16:38     Mar 17 04:12 +-9h        32.4 S   135.7 E
    SatEvo     Mar 16 19:40     Mar 17 05:42 +-5h        30.1 S   144.5 E
    
    Latest elset:
    GPS2R-7 Dlt2 r   7.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d   15       285 x 132 km
    1 26691U 01004B   01075.51639910  .09667740 -20211-5  31330-3 0  1183
    2 26691  32.5684 114.7149 0115973 259.7042  99.0555 16.24039464  6802
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    ..(ends)
    GPS2R-7 Dlt2 r   7.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d   15       204 x 122 km
    1 26691U 01004B   01076.06707271  .25933038  33325+0  31622-3 0 91180
    2 26691  32.5650 110.5368 0062487 266.0284  93.2571 16.41138823  6893
    GPS2R-7 Dlt2 r   7.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d   15       188 x 119 km
    1 26691U 01004B   01076.12784030  .34192071  68250+0  31594-3 0 91182
    2 26691  32.5643 110.0682 0053216 266.7377  92.6533 16.44735232  6902
    GPS2R-7 Dlt2 r   7.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d   15       166 x 113 km
    1 26691U 01004B   01076.18845622  .55539769  23410+1  33388-3 0 91188
    2 26691  32.5633 109.5979 0040813 267.4495  92.0832 16.49916044  6915
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 12 sec late against 
    yesterday's prediction. My present estimate is for this to decay
    while heading ENE-wards over New South Wales, Australia, on the last
    of these SatEvo-predicted revs. Earlier that orbit (but later than
    SpaceCom's decay point), it passes eastwards over Tampa, Florida,
    at 04:46 UTC. The following rev takes it eastwards across the S
    USA from San Antonio, Texas, at 06:14, at Charleston, South Carolina,
    at 06:18.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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