Decay watch; 2001 Mar 4

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Mar 04 2001 - 10:09:38 PST

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    From my updated Decay watch page:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #23019 = 94- 14 A = Koronas 1
    
    Final decay analyses:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Mar  4 10:54     Mar  4 10:30 +-40m        6.4 S   147.3 W
    SatEvo     Mar  4 17:35     Mar  4 10:26 +-20m        7.4 S   147.4 W
    
    Final elset:
    Koronas 1        3.0  0.0  0.0  6.0 d   28       135 x 125 km
    1 23019U 94014A   01063.37561588  .30654172 -10973-5  21028-3 0  3530
    2 23019  82.4414 172.4444 0007491 245.4628 114.5971 16.53562239390134
    
    Note: The final elset shows this running 26 sec early against the
    SatEvo prediction I posted yesterday. My estimate for the decay is
    very close to SpaceCom's, placing it northbound over the eastern
    Pacific.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26062 = 00-  4 B = OCS
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Mar  4 10:58     Mar  5 09:33 +-14h       24.2 S   129.0 W
    SatEvo     Mar  4 17:40     Mar  5 11:38 +-5h         0.0      23.5 E
    
    Latest elset:
    OCS              3.6  0.0  0.0  4.1 v  3.7       348 x 307 km
    1 26062U 00004B   01063.67062425  .17711539  00000-0  68124-1 0  5714
    2 26062 100.1848   0.0237 0030619 143.0411 217.3171 15.80998275 58778
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    ..(ends)
    OCS              3.6  0.0  0.0  4.1 v  3.7       247 x 229 km
    1 26062U 00004B   01064.36155065  .59722757  15252+1  51063-1 0 95712
    2 26062 100.1728   1.0624 0013765 140.5617 219.5385 16.13198071 58885
    OCS              3.6  0.0  0.0  4.1 v  3.7       218 x 204 km
    1 26062U 00004B   01064.42340400 1.14721947  67387+1  47082-1 0 95712
    2 26062 100.1695   1.1587 0010160 140.3316 219.7427 16.23156957 58895
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 55 sec early against 
    yesterday's prediction. I show it decaying near a northbound equator
    crossing over central Africa at the end of the final SatEvo-predicted
    rev above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Mar 04 2001 - 10:14:38 PST