SatEvo decay list #95 (issued 2000 March 17) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 April 30, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,000 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 20680 74- 89 FE Thorad Delta 1 deb February 29.6 22876 93- 67 B Cosmos 2265 r March 2.48 24343 94- 29 NU STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 3 179 61- 15 BD Transit 4A deb March 4.2 25947 99- 58 E Glblstar 31 Soyuz r March 4.23 24627 94- 29 AAF STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 6 24831 94- 61 E Cosmos 2292 deb March 7.0 24230 94- 29 LD STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 7 25905 95- 58 J Cosmos 2322 Zenit deb March 9.4 4134 69- 82 CW Thorad Agena D deb March 12.0 23887 96- 34 F Gorizont 32 aux motor March 12.68 26100 00- 13 C Express 6-A Proton plat March 13.05 26099 00- 13 B Express 6-A Proton r March 14.21 26060 99- 47 H Yamal 101 aux motor March 15.12 24233 94- 29 LG STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 16 Note 1 24481 94- 29 UE STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 16 24612 94- 29 ZQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 16 Note 1 18590 71- 15 DJ Cosmos 397 deb March 18 25965 99- 62 E Glblstar 29 Soyuz r March 19 24143 94- 29 GS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 22 11331 79- 32 A Cosmos 1093 March 23 24389 94- 29 QS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 23 20854 90- 81 S FY-1B CZ deb March 25 24112 94- 29 FK STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 25 17630 81- 53 LC Cosmos 1275 deb March 26 19028 69- 82 LC Thorad Agena D deb March 26 20919 90- 93 B Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r March 26 24139 94- 29 GN STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 29 24618 94- 29 ZW STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 29 25393 98- 42 E Tubsat N SSN-23 deb March 31 15977 85- 74 A Molniya 1-64 April 1 22457 92- 93 EW Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb April 1 24314 96- 55 B Echostar 2 Ariane 42P r April 3 24062 94- 29 DK STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 5 25709 89-100 BE Cosmos 2053 Tsyklon deb April 5 20966 90-104 A Cosmos 2106 April 9 24358 94- 29 PK STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 9 5714 68- 91 CB Cosmos 249 deb April 12 25137 98- 2 D Skynet 4D Delta deb April 14 24150 94- 29 GZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 17 23417 94- 77 H Cosmos 2297 deb April 21 25223 87- 68 BA Meteor 2-16 Tsyklon deb April 21 16084 79- 17 AM Solwind deb April 22 20704 90- 54 E Gorizont 20 aux motor April 23 22482 92- 93 FX Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb April 25 19435 86- 19 UY Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb April 28 20968 90- 81 CA FY-1B CZ deb April 30 22033 92- 41 D Insat 2A Spelda April 30 20338 89- 94 A Molniya 3-36 May 1? 15983 85- 74 D Molniya 1-64 r2 May 6 23834 96- 19 B GPS 2-25 Delta 2 r1 May 7 10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r May 16 26085 00- 8 E Globalstar A Delta r May 20 25235 98- 12 C SNOE Pegasus r May 22 22726 93- 48 D Insat 2B Spelda May 29 10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 June 20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r June 24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 July 13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 July 20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor July 23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r July 20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux motor August 24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) August 25123 97- 85 A Early Bird August 21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor September 20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 October 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r October 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 October Note 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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