Decay watch: Mar 14 (2 Deltas)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 14 Mar 1999 19:29:43 +0000

I return to find that OIG's database has seen no additions since 
~14h UTC on March 13. The predictions below are therefore even more
uncertain than usual.
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Object: #25166 = 98-  8 E = Globalstar 1 Delta r

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Mar  9 20:05     Mar 16 07:53 +-4d        12.6 N     7.3 E
SpaceCom   Mar 12 07:25     Mar 16 02:38 +-2d         3.6 N   105.1 W
SpaceCom   Mar 13 09:27     Mar 16 09:56 +-2d        20.8 N   129.4 E

SatEvo     Mar  9 23:05     Mar 16 12:16 +-2.5d
SatEvo     Mar 10 23:20     Mar 15 21:30 +-1.5d
SatEvo     Mar 11 20:25     Mar 16 00:28 +-1.4d
SatEvo     Mar 12 16:50     Mar 16 01:53 +-18h
SatEvo     Mar 14 17:45     Mar 16 03:58 +-12h       24.9 N   144.3 W

Latest elset:
Gblstr 1 Dlt r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v            282 x 181 km
1 25166U 98008E   99072.55966243  .02674094  11882-4  10501-2 0  4992
2 25166  52.6606 303.2187 0076578   6.3055 353.8922 16.15753930 58716

SatEvo predicted elsets:
Gblstr 1 Dlt r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v            240 x 167 km
1 25166U 98008E   99074.03987564  .04894437  10816-1  96161-3 0 94992
2 25166  52.6575 295.2682 0055761  11.8077 348.3224 16.26030313 58952
Gblstr 1 Dlt r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v            217 x 158 km
1 25166U 98008E   99074.53072944  .07576730  30781-1  91536-3 0 94994
2 25166  52.6558 292.5996 0045413  13.6549 346.4676 16.31924545 59033
Gblstr 1 Dlt r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v            172 x 138 km
1 25166U 98008E   99075.01915020  .24702848  44713+0  50486-3 0 94996
2 25166  52.6525 289.9133 0026025  15.5147 344.5650 16.44078369 59111
Gblstr 1 Dlt r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v            134 x 119 km
1 25166U 98008E   99075.14039958  .98579697  16216+2  48444-3 0 94992
2 25166  52.6491 289.2354 0011925  15.9841 344.0535 16.54959154 59139
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Object: #25472 = 98- 51 F = Iridium 82 Delta r

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Mar 11 23:11     Mar 15 23:38 +-2d         9.8 N    26.2 E
SpaceCom   Mar 13 01:12     Mar 15 22:58 +-2d        27.2 S   141.6 W

SatEvo     Mar  9 22:45     Mar 15 12:33 +-2d
SatEvo     Mar 10 23:45     Mar 14 23:57 +-1d
SatEvo     Mar 11 20:30     Mar 15 02:10 +-1d
SatEvo     Mar 12 17:00     Mar 15 13:16 +-18h
SatEvo     Mar 14 18:00     Mar 15 16:28 +-10h       62.9 N   145.1 E

Latest elset:
Iridm 82 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            229 x 196 km
1 25472U 98051F   99072.52808121  .02471583 -13104-5  10121-2 0  2857
2 25472  83.4029 194.1174 0025117 339.0936  20.9440 16.22466834 29095

SatEvo predicted elsets:
Iridm 82 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            194 x 173 km
1 25472U 98051F   99074.00417450  .06177794  22448-1  99327-3 0 92855
2 25472  83.3990 192.6017 0016133 332.9342  26.9815 16.33307639 29339
Iridm 82 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            180 x 163 km
1 25472U 98051F   99074.31012085  .09562587  68279-1  95416-3 0 92852
2 25472  83.3974 192.2836 0012984 331.6423  28.2871 16.37939359 29388
Iridm 82 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            149 x 140 km
1 25472U 98051F   99074.61486127  .37802626  14549+1  59708-3 0 92853
2 25472  83.3941 191.9637 0007060 330.3435  29.6165 16.48192450 29437
Iridm 82 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            123 x 119 km
1 25472U 98051F   99074.67546022 1.74302641  28040+2  78739-3 0 92851
2 25472  83.3922 191.8992 0003299 330.0817  29.8994 16.56912802 29443
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/