Decay watch: Mar 9 (NOSS r & 2xDelta r)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Tue, 9 Mar 1999 23:06:35 +0000

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Object: #23863 = 96- 29 G = NOSS 2-3 Titan r

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Mar  6 07:16     Mar 10 06:14 +-2d         3.1 S    92.0 E
SpaceCom   Mar  9 00:53     Mar 11 14:31 +-2d         9.5 N    45.6 W
SpaceCom   Mar  9 19:40     Mar 11 14:56 +-1d        63.0 S    31.4 E

SatEvo     Mar  4 20:15     Mar 10 09:12 +-1.5d       0        44.4 E
SatEvo     Mar  6 18:00     Mar  9 21:23 +-16h        0       135.8 E
SatEvo     Mar  8 19:00     Mar 11 12:49 +-18h       54.7 N    60.2 W
SatEvo     Mar  9 22:20     Mar 12 01:33 +-14h        0        29.3 W

Latest elset:
NOSS 2-3 r       9.8  3.0  0.0  4.8 v            195 x 184 km
1 23863U 96029G   99068.56218810  .01732864  83698-5  33736-3 0   447
2 23863  63.3990 173.3749 0008979 358.2490   1.8826 16.31176051 74391

SatEvo predicted elsets:
NOSS 2-3 r       9.8  3.0  0.0  4.8 v            190 x 179 km
1 23863U 96029G   99069.05234131  .02080155  29288-2  33712-3 0 90441
2 23863  63.3984 171.3991 0008244 358.2546   1.7425 16.33020027 74474
NOSS 2-3 r       9.8  3.0  0.0  4.8 v            183 x 174 km
1 23863U 96029G   99069.54190248  .02571048  40658-2  33002-3 0 90447
2 23863  63.3977 169.4198 0007395 358.2603   1.7370 16.35285691 74553
NOSS 2-3 r       9.8  3.0  0.0  4.8 v            175 x 167 km
1 23863U 96029G   99070.03070383  .03392886  90336-2  31789-3 0 90440
2 23863  63.3967 167.4364 0006395 358.2661   1.7316 16.38150920 74636

Note: The latest elset shows this running 19 seconds late on yesterday's
prediction.
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Object: #25166 = 98-  8 E = Globalstar 1 Delta r

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Mar  9 20:05     Mar 16 07:53 +-4d        12.6 N     7.3 E

SatEvo     Mar  9 23:05     Mar 16 12:16 +-2.5d

Latest elset:
Gblstr 1 Dlt r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v            345 x 193 km
1 25166U 98008E   99068.89318287  .01569475  11459-4  11682-2 0  4786
2 25166  52.6650 322.5652 0114125 355.0835   4.9998 16.01901834 58122

Note: This enters eclipse while southbound near 40 deg N latitude 
at ~19h local time. It leaves eclipse near southern apex at 53 deg S 
at ~04h.
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Object: #25472 = 98- 51 F = Iridium 82 Delta r

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SatEvo     Mar  9 22:45     Mar 15 12:33 +-2d

Latest elset:
Iridm 82 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            270 x 222 km
1 25472U 98051F   99068.87396136  .01080141 -12891-5  10313-2 0  2667
2 25472  83.4043 197.8101 0036100   2.2187 357.9275 16.10308993 28504

Note: No SpaceCom warning yet. Eclipse entry for this occurs while 
southbound near 70 deg S latitude at about local midnight, with exit
also northbound near 73 deg N at ~03h local.
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/