Re: Decay of Cosmos 2321 r
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Wed, 12 Mar 1997 21:47:00 +0000
I said...
>My latest SatEvo analysis predicts decay at March 12.75 +/- 0.1d ...
Can I take that statement back please? :-(
Having run around 4 seconds ahead of prediction for several hours, the
rocket was 26 seconds late by 14h UT today and OIG elsets were
suggesting a decreasing (?!) drag for a time. The latest OIG elset is:
Cosmos 2321 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 160 x 135 km
1 23677U 95052B 97071.77989444 .06639071 -13194-5 10591-3 0 6028
2 23677 82.8846 299.6697 0019070 290.1082 69.8411 16.46773924 81041
My latest analysis suggests decay will be at March 13.11 (give or take a
day or two!). Predicted elsets:
Cosmos 2321 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 156 x 133 km
1 23677U 95052B 97071.84061337 .09847049 97009-1 13277-3 0 96022
2 23677 82.8842 299.6005 0017229 289.8503 69.9664 16.48061981 81054
Cosmos 2321 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 151 x 131 km
1 23677U 95052B 97071.90131448 .12002595 15342+0 13703-3 0 96025
2 23677 82.8838 299.5312 0015166 289.5921 70.2442 16.49378442 81062
Cosmos 2321 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 145 x 128 km
1 23677U 95052B 97071.96196213 .15678243 28474+0 14516-3 0 96027
2 23677 82.8832 299.4618 0012777 289.3336 70.5283 16.51034501 81072
Cosmos 2321 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 137 x 124 km
1 23677U 95052B 97072.02253967 .23661253 73931+0 16385-3 0 96021
2 23677 82.8825 299.3923 0009826 289.0746 70.8209 16.53341657 81082
Cosmos 2321 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 123 x 116 km
1 23677U 95052B 97072.08300795 .60501226 66391+1 24697-3 0 96021
2 23677 82.8811 299.3226 0005461 288.8150 71.1257 16.57647337 81096
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224