Shenzhou 9 estimated elements

From: Ted Molczan (ssl3molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Sat Jun 16 2012 - 10:57:03 UTC

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    Shenzhou 9 is lifted off today (2012 Jun 16) at 10:37 UTC. 
    
    Ideally, TLEs from official sources will become available in a timely manner; if not, then I offer the following
    estimated elements, based on the assumption that the initial orbits employed will be similar to those of Shenzhou 8.
    
    1. Elliptical parking orbit
    
    Shenzhou 9 and its rocket will be in approximately the following orbit at first ascending node:
    
    Shenzhou 9 r                                             200 X 314 km
    1 79602U          12168.48976853  .00952362  00000-0  68000-3 0    09
    2 79602  42.7900  54.6458 0085691 130.0090 230.8604 16.07011224    09
    
    The above TLE is for the rocket, which Shenzhou 9 will trail by a short distance.
    
    2. Orbit after perigee raising
    
    If the perigee-raising is of the same magnitude and occurs at the same point in the mission as on Shenzhou 8, then
    Shenzhou 9 will be in approximately the following orbit sometime before 17:00 UTC, which is the epoch of the following
    TLE.
     
    Shenzhou 9                                               264 X 317 km
    1 79601U          12168.70833334  .00099999  00000-0  22660-3 0    09
    2 79601  42.7900  53.2536 0039886 135.3676  51.7927 15.94959010    00
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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