My late final notice for the late Molniya.
Because of vacation, computer system upgrades, and other commitments,
I'll be unable to post further Decay Watch notes until late-July at the
earliest.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #20444 = 90- 6 A = Molniya 3-37
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jun 23 21:38 Jun 23 19:29 +-47m 11.0 S 103.0 W
SatEvo Jun 25 07:10 Jun 23 20:40 +-90m 52.7 S 161.2 W
Final elset:
Molniya 3-37 288 x 111 km
1 20444U 90006A 03174.74926960 .74530884 94861-5 86917-3 0 9612
2 20444 61.5951 105.8745 0134150 274.8167 83.7863 16.27380796 99611
Note: I suspect that the perigee indicated by the final elset, and by
two others issued for the same rev, is too high. My predicted elsets
run:
Molniya 3-37 289 x 83 km
1 20444U 90006A 03174.81078509 .94363573 17282+1 31395-3 0 99579
2 20444 61.5653 105.5844 0156976 269.8351 88.3661 16.32609924 99627
Molniya 3-37 214 x 81 km
1 20444U 90006A 03174.87189139 1.51761386 71387+1 36558-3 0 99577
2 20444 61.5610 105.3197 0102065 269.8723 88.9581 16.46866730 99635
I estimate that it decayed over the southern Pacific following
perigee on the first of these two orbits.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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