Decay Forecast Molniya 3-37 Update

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Thu Jun 19 2003 - 08:44:00 EDT

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    Report time 11:15 UTC
    
    1990-006A (#20444) Molniya 3-37
    
    As I have suggested in a preceding message the Molniya underwent
    a catastrophic breakup (June 18, around 16:25 - 16:52 UTC) with
    a dramatic change of the ballistic coefficient(a large decrease
    of the effective area) and a "jump" of the perigee from 97-100 km  to 117- 118 km.
    We see now ELSETs of the "remnant". MPM + REENTRY deliver with
    ELSETs 03169.976... and  03170.252... (SFX 120, ap 030) the
    decay on
    23 June, 07:43 UTC +/- 09 hours (60.9S, 07.1E)
    ascending over the South Atlantic.
    
    Harro 
    
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    Berlin
    
    
    
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