Decay watch: 2003 June 18

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Jun 18 2003 - 16:54:21 EDT

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    Molniya 3-37 is on its last legs. From My decay watch page...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #20444 = 90-  6 A = Molniya 3-37
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jun 18 17:47     Jun 19 00:05 +-4h        26.2 S    50.7 E
    SatEvo     Jun 18 20:45     Jun 18 22:57 +-3h        52.3 S   172.0 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Molniya 3-37                                     1398 x 95 km
    1 20444U 90006A   03169.78646409  .09963435  60320-5  16376-3 0  9241
    2 20444  61.5939 123.6611 0914687 266.4174 172.7890 14.43629197 98865
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Molniya 3-37                                     1051 x 75 km
    1 20444U 90006A   03169.83691078 2.86820763  32767+1  13421-2 0 99180
    2 20444  61.5937 123.4863 0703196 267.1158  84.8216 15.01375212 98867
    Molniya 3-37                                     790 x 73 km
    1 20444U 90006A   03169.90297440 3.88761927  82231+1  14142-2 0 99184
    2 20444  61.5762 123.2439 0525943 267.1495  86.8220 15.45026718 98876
    Molniya 3-37                                     408 x 70 km
    1 20444U 90006A   03169.96701352 8.21408557  50000+2  16693-2 0 99184
    2 20444  61.5585 122.9903 0255213 267.1851  89.8915 16.12821193 98887
    
    Note: Not for the first time with a decaying Molniya, the decay
    has been slightly delayed. I estimate that it will re-enter following
    perigee on the penultimate SatEvo rev, above, over the far-SW Pacific.
    It might well survive beyond the following perigee, to perhaps
    00:25 UTC on the 19th.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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