Decay watch: 2003 June 17

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Jun 17 2003 - 16:10:33 EDT

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    Molniya 3-37 may be into its final day. The following is taken from my 
    updated Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #20444 = 90-  6 A = Molniya 3-37
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jun 17 15:09     Jun 18 15:06 +-15h       30.9 N   153.0 E
    SatEvo     Jun 17 19:50     Jun 18 17:59 +-9h        49.7 S    92.0 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Molniya 3-37                                     3850 x 76 km
    1 20444U          03168.70592138  .05408002  11626-4  62113-4 0  9027
    2 20444  61.6398 126.5493 2261794 265.1363 185.1118 11.39660048 98725
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Molniya 3-37                                     3141 x 74 km
    1 20444U          03169.01994477 1.41742865  36946+0  12077-2 0 99021
    2 20444  61.6301 125.8660 1920044 265.2285  72.7172 12.16688101 98761
    Molniya 3-37                                     2511 x 74 km
    1 20444U          03169.26016879 1.76504918  64372+0  13033-2 0 99029
    2 20444  61.5888 125.2745 1588350 265.3096  76.4492 12.92370596 98798
    Molniya 3-37                                     1565 x 72 km
    1 20444U          03169.55726531 2.81534511  23593+1  14268-2 0 99025
    2 20444  61.5269 124.4223 1037169 265.4296  82.6707 14.21943137 98837
    Molniya 3-37                                     949 x 70 km
    1 20444U          03169.69451386 4.68005794  91997+1  15097-2 0 99020
    2 20444  61.4931 123.9561 0638184 265.4969  87.1902 15.18831631 98852
    Molniya 3-37                                     472 x 67 km
    1 20444U          03169.75948675 9.99999999  50000+2  17710-2 0 99022
    2 20444  61.4616 123.7050 0304831 265.5337  90.9781 16.01744179 98863
    
    Note: I estimate that this will decay following perigee on the
    penultimate of my SatEvo-predicted orbits. This puts it over the
    SE Pacific.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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