Decay watch: 2003 June 9

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Jun 09 2003 - 17:38:25 EDT

  • Next message: Kevin Fetter: "Re: Progress obs"

    (An attempt to send this three hours ago appears to have failed)
    
     From my Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27824 = 03- 25 B = Progress M1-10 Soyuz r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
    SCC        Jun  9 08:17     Jun 11 00:02 +-1d        21.3 S   134.2 E
    SatEvo     Jun  9 18:45     Jun 10 19:45 +-9h        12.2 N   133.7 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Progress M1-10 Soyuz r                           214 x 179 km
    1 27824U 03025B   03160.41630799  .03841841  12119-4  84912-3 0   133
    2 27824  51.6255  59.4857 0026710  81.7064 278.7294 16.28422891   168
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Progress M1-10 Soyuz r                           204 x 173 km
    1 27824U 03025B   03160.78412457  .04725845  11806-1  77997-3 0 90131
    2 27824  51.6246  57.4356 0023765  83.2370 277.0334 16.31566215   221
    Progress M1-10 Soyuz r                           196 x 167 km
    1 27824U 03025B   03161.02892361  .05834978  19380-1  74870-3 0 90136
    2 27824  51.6239  56.0656 0021421  84.2599 275.9843 16.34129572   262
    Progress M1-10 Soyuz r                           185 x 161 km
    1 27824U 03025B   03161.27329115  .07543422  30549-1  68712-3 0 90136
    2 27824  51.6230  54.6924 0018640  85.2852 274.9276 16.37362973   308
    Progress M1-10 Soyuz r                           171 x 151 km
    1 27824U 03025B   03161.51709450  .11730431  10251+0  52025-3 0 90136
    2 27824  51.6216  53.3150 0015060  86.3138 273.8584 16.41866009   349
    Progress M1-10 Soyuz r                           152 x 138 km
    1 27824U 03025B   03161.69938287  .24798542  57678+0  36955-3 0 90136
    2 27824  51.6200  52.2777 0010622  87.0885 273.0330 16.47842128   377
    Progress M1-10 Soyuz r                           140 x 130 km
    1 27824U 03025B   03161.75995454  .42264855  16186+1  34368-3 0 90133
    2 27824  51.6190  51.9304 0007964  87.3479 272.7433 16.51717734   384
    
    Note: I estimate that this will decay over the E Pacific following the 
    northbound equator crossing at the end of the final SatEvo rev above. 
    That orbit continues in daylight across the USA from southernmost 
    California at 19:52 UTC to Denver, Colorado, at 19:54, and to St Paul, 
    Minneapolis, at 19:57. It continues on to Lisbon, Portugal, at 20:12.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
    -----------------------------------------------------------------
    To unsubscribe from SeeSat-L, send a message with 'unsubscribe'
    in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@satobs.org
    List archived at http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    



    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Jun 09 2003 - 17:43:20 EDT