I had a problem in posting yesterday's decay watch note to SeeSat-L, so
the final notice for the Agena D decay is repeated below. Since then
SpaceCom has posted the first notices for three decayers, including the
Soyuz rocket from the just-launched Progress M-46. A summary of the
latest update to my Decay Watch page follows, but without my usual
SatEvo predictions - I'm out of time as I leave for a few days away, so
no further updates until July 1st (earliest), I'm afraid.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #10994 = 78- 75 B = OPS 7310 Titan 34B Agena D rocket
Final analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 25 16:49 Jun 25 14:50 +-1h 13.7 S 125.4 W
SatEvo Jun 25 20:30 Jun 25 14:51 +-30m 30.0 S 116.6 W
Final elset:
Titan34B Agena 5.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 10 214 x 139 km
1 10994U 78075B 02176.52195562 .44866742 82629-5 14983-2 0 318
2 10994 62.6861 182.9085 0056888 125.2639 235.5984 16.35988135466595
Note: The final elset has this running only 3 sec late against
yesterday's SatEvo prediction. I have it decaying southbound over
the SE Pacific on this SatEvo-predicted rev:
Titan34B Agena 5.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 10 169 x 124 km
1 10994U 78075B 02176.58280685 1.55302652 24730+2 16122-2 0 90314
2 10994 62.6827 182.6539 0034719 125.2786 235.0467 16.47182303466609
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26642 = 00- 81 E = Astra 2D Ariane 5 deb (Sylda)
Decay prediction:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 26 17:38 Jun 29 07:11 +-2d 1.9 N 25.8 E
Latest elset:
Astra 2D Ariane 5 deb (Sylda) 1594 x 136 km
1 26642U 00081E 02176.79553557 .23804603 -23231-4 34772-2 0 8155
2 26642 2.1462 11.7281 1006181 288.4293 60.9079 14.08482158 23311
Note: This nearly equatorial object is about 700 km high (falling)
when it enters eclipse in the evening and some 250 km high and
climbing when it exits eclipse before dawn
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26885 = 01- 34 B = Genesis Delta 2 rocket
Decay prediction:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 26 14:43 Jun 30 15:08 +-3d 14.7 S 91.4 W
Latest elset:
Genesis Del2 r 7.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 16 525 x 153 km
1 26885U 01034B 02177.41203130 .04245851 -86084-5 10913-2 0 6600
2 26885 26.7834 234.1771 0277080 80.7333 282.4784 15.77050229 41530
Note: Eclipse entry occurs southbound near 13 deg S in the evening,
with eclipse exit just beyond northern apex at 26 deg N before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27455 = 02- 33 B = Progress M-46 Soyuz rocket
Decay prediction:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 26 16:32 Jun 28 02:45 +-21h 35.9 S 6.4 E
Latest elset:
Progress M-46 Soyuz r 209 x 183 km
1 27455U 02033B 02177.67085256 .03067339 12106-4 69281-3 0 37
2 27455 51.6186 5.7510 0019669 89.8500 359.5947 16.28736392 77
Note: This enters eclipse while southbound near 14 deg S in the evening
and leaves eclipse northbound near 11 deg S before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Jun 26 2002 - 13:40:36 PDT